Kangaroo Ground VIC Property Investment

Nillumbik · 3097 · Score: 70/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$1.67M
Rental Yield
1.1%
Vacancy Rate
2.2%
Median Weekly Rent
$365/wk
Median Unit Price
$1.24M
Population
1,208
Days on Market
32 days
Annual Growth
0.7%
AI Investment Analysis

Kangaroo Ground VIC Investment Brief

BUY$1,672,450 (pending peer validation) median with 10.2%/yr growth over 5 years.

THE MARKET

Kangaroo Ground has compounded at 10.2%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $1,672,450 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 32 days (roughly balanced conditions).

  • Median house: $1,672,450 (pending peer validation) | Units: $1,243,194
  • Gross yield: 1.1% | Net yield: -0.4%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 10.2%/yr | 3yr forecast: 3.0%/yr
  • Population: 1,208 | Owner-occupier rate: 89% | Affluence: Very High
  • Supply pipeline: Moderate — Development activity consistent with long-term averages

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 2.2% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $365/wk | Days on market: 32 (stable)
  • Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Angliss Hospital Expansion (Under Delivery)
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Kangaroo Ground maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.5%, median prices could reach $1,923,317 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Kangaroo Ground pull back 10-15% from $1,672,450, with vacancy rising to 4.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Bushfire risk: HIGH (planning_overlay) — confirm BAL rating and any bushfire overlay obligations for the property

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Flemington (VIC): $1,200,000 median, 2.8% yield, 2.3% 1yr growth
  • Altona East (VIC): $1,250,000 median, 1.7% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
  • Carlton (VIC): $1,400,000 median, 3.1% yield, 8.7% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Kangaroo Ground presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 1.1% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current above_trend phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $1,505,205$1,839,695
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.5/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Strong capital growth (10.2% CAGR) — above national average
Outer suburban location (26.4km to CBD) — slower gentrification cycle
Active development pipeline (770 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
9.2%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
8.4%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
7.3%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 10.2% + 10yr CAGR 8.9%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (2.2%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (770 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

7 green4 yellow5 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.2 high impact
Days on Market
32 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
365 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
10.17 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
8.95 high impact
1yr Price Growth
0.66 medium impact
Population Growth
1.26 high impact
Median Household Income
2706 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
8 medium impact
Distance to CBD
26.38 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
10 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
88.6 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
1.13 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
-0.37 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

156

2020

168

2021

220

2022

130

2023

96

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 3097

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 10 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

1,536

Education (IEO)

10/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

10/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Kangaroo Ground VIC data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $365/wk median rent for Kangaroo Ground. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Kangaroo Ground Primary School
PrimaryGovernment
8/10
Diamond Valley College
SecondaryGovernment
6.6/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.