Hallam VIC Property Investment

Casey · 3803 · Score: 59/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$919K
Rental Yield
3.2%
Vacancy Rate
2.2%
Median Weekly Rent
$560/wk
Median Unit Price
$647K
Population
11,355
Days on Market
32 days
Annual Growth
5.0%
AI Investment Analysis

Hallam VIC Investment Brief

HOLD3.2% gross yield on a $919,000 median.

THE MARKET

Hallam has compounded at 5.0%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $720,061 in 2021 is worth $919,000 today. Properties are sitting on market for 32 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $1,172,903 by 2031.

  • Median house: $919,000 | Units: $647,150
  • Gross yield: 3.2% | Net yield: 1.7%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 5.0%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 11,355 | Owner-occupier rate: 70% | Affluence: Below Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 2.2% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $560/wk | Days on market: 32 (stable)
  • Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Suburban Rail Loop East (Melbourne) (Under Construction)
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Hallam maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.5%, median prices could reach $1,056,850 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Hallam pull back 10-15% from $919,000, with vacancy rising to 4.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • No significant risk factors identified for this suburb

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Hazelwood North (VIC): $1,027,334 median, 1.1% yield, 14.9% 1yr growth
  • Ardmona (VIC): $672,000 median, 1.9% yield, 7.5% 1yr growth
  • Undera (VIC): $672,000 median, 1.9% yield, 7.5% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Hallam offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a stable phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.

  • Entry range: $827,100$1,010,900
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals5.0/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Moderate capital growth (5.0% CAGR)
Outer suburban location (34.8km to CBD) — slower gentrification cycle
Active development pipeline (21547 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
4.8%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
4.4%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
3.8%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 5.0% + 10yr CAGR 5.1%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (2.2%) — constrained supply
  • +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (21547 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

4 green8 yellow4 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.2 high impact
Days on Market
32 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
560 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
5.02 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
5.09 high impact
1yr Price Growth
4.96 medium impact
Population Growth
0.9 high impact
Median Household Income
1489 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
7.8 medium impact
Public Transport Score
41 medium impact
School Zone Quality
7.5 medium impact
Distance to CBD
34.84 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
2 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
70.5 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.17 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.67 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

3,683

2020

4,692

2021

4,788

2022

4,712

2023

3,672

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 3803

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 2 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

11,355

Education (IEO)

4/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

4/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Hallam VIC data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $560/wk median rent for Hallam. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Hallam Primary School
PrimaryGovernment
5.1/10
Hallam Secondary College
SecondaryGovernment
5.2/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.