Derrimut VIC Property Investment

Wyndham · 3026 · Score: 70/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$892K
Rental Yield
3.5%
Vacancy Rate
2.2%
Median Weekly Rent
$600/wk
Median Unit Price
$611K
Population
8,651
Days on Market
32 days
Annual Growth
9.0%
AI Investment Analysis

Derrimut VIC Investment Brief

BUY3.5% gross yield on a $892,000 median.

THE MARKET

Derrimut has compounded at 3.7%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $743,826 in 2021 is worth $892,000 today. Properties are sitting on market for 32 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $1,069,692 by 2031.

  • Median house: $892,000 | Units: $610,868
  • Gross yield: 3.5% | Net yield: 2.0%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 3.7%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 8,651 | Owner-occupier rate: 75% | Affluence: Above Average
  • Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 2.2% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $600/wk | Days on market: 32 (stable)
  • Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • West Gate Tunnel (Melbourne) (Under Construction)
  • Melbourne Airport Rail (SRL Airport) (Announced)
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Derrimut maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.5%, median prices could reach $1,025,800 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Derrimut pull back 10-15% from $892,000, with vacancy rising to 4.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • No significant risk factors identified for this suburb

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • St Albans (VIC): $731,405 median, 3.5% yield, 12.4% 1yr growth
  • Noble Park (VIC): $825,401 median, 3.5% yield, 6.5% 1yr growth
  • Springvale (VIC): $966,000 median, 3.2% yield, 9.1% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Derrimut presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 3.5% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current stable phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $802,800$981,200
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.5/10
Middle-tier SEIFA — moderate gentrification pressure
Inner/middle ring location (17.0km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
Active development pipeline (25317 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

medium confidence
1yr Forecast
4.2%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
3.9%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
3.4%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 3.7%

Growth drivers
  • +Strong population growth (2.7%/yr) driving demand
  • +Low rental vacancy (2.2%) — constrained supply
  • +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (25317 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

5 green7 yellow3 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.2 high impact
Days on Market
32 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
600 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
3.74 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
No data high impact
1yr Price Growth
9.03 medium impact
Population Growth
2.72 high impact
Median Household Income
2242 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
5.8 medium impact
Public Transport Score
26 medium impact
School Zone Quality
6.5 medium impact
Distance to CBD
16.99 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
5 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
74.7 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.5 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
2 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

5,356

2020

6,315

2021

4,824

2022

4,251

2023

4,571

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 3026

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 4 of 10 — Average

Population

8,770

Education (IEO)

6/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

8/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Derrimut VIC data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $600/wk median rent for Derrimut. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Derrimut Primary School
PrimaryGovernment
6.2/10
Sunshine College
SecondaryGovernment
5/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.