Campbellfield VIC Property Investment

Hume · 3061 · Score: 54/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$704K
Rental Yield
3.9%
Vacancy Rate
2.2%
Median Weekly Rent
$530/wk
Median Unit Price
$368K
Population
4,977
Days on Market
32 days
Annual Growth
14.3%
AI Investment Analysis

Campbellfield VIC Investment Brief

HOLD3.9% gross yield on a $704,000 median.

THE MARKET

Campbellfield has compounded at 4.6%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $562,230 in 2021 is worth $704,000 today. Properties are sitting on market for 32 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $881,518 by 2031.

  • Median house: $704,000 | Units: $368,000
  • Gross yield: 3.9% | Net yield: 2.4%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 4.6%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 4,977 | Owner-occupier rate: 70% | Affluence: Low
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 2.2% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $530/wk | Days on market: 32 (stable)
  • Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Melbourne Airport Rail (SRL Airport) (Announced)
  • West Gate Tunnel (Melbourne) (Under Construction)
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Campbellfield maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.5%, median prices could reach $809,600 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Campbellfield pull back 10-15% from $704,000, with vacancy rising to 4.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • No significant risk factors identified for this suburb

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • St Albans (VIC): $731,405 median, 3.5% yield, 12.4% 1yr growth
  • Noble Park (VIC): $825,401 median, 3.5% yield, 6.5% 1yr growth
  • Deer Park (VIC): $714,583 median, 3.6% yield, 7.1% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Campbellfield offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a stable phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.4%.

  • Entry range: $633,600$774,400
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Active gentrification6.0/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Moderate capital growth (4.6% CAGR)
Inner/middle ring location (16.5km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
Active development pipeline (16632 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
3.7%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
3.4%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
3.0%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 4.6% + 10yr CAGR 5.0%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (2.2%) — constrained supply
  • +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
Headwinds
  • Population decline (-0.3%/yr) — demand headwind
  • High supply pipeline (16632 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

3 green6 yellow7 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.2 high impact
Days on Market
32 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
530 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
4.57 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.98 high impact
1yr Price Growth
14.29 medium impact
Population Growth
-0.31 high impact
Median Household Income
1110 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
11.9 medium impact
Public Transport Score
42 medium impact
School Zone Quality
4.4 medium impact
Distance to CBD
16.52 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
1 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
69.6 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.91 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
2.41 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

3,495

2020

3,953

2021

2,999

2022

2,406

2023

3,779

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 3061

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 1 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

4,977

Education (IEO)

1/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

1/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Campbellfield VIC data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $530/wk median rent for Campbellfield. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Dallas Brooks Community Primary School
PrimaryGovernment
4.2/10
Hume Central Secondary College
SecondaryGovernment
4/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.