Altona North VIC Property Investment

Hobsons Bay · 3025 · Score: 65/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$953K
Rental Yield
3.5%
Vacancy Rate
2.2%
Median Weekly Rent
$650/wk
Median Unit Price
$791K
Population
12,962
Days on Market
32 days
Annual Growth
1.6%
AI Investment Analysis

Altona North VIC Investment Brief

BUY3.5% gross yield on a $952,705 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) median.

THE MARKET

Altona North has compounded at 4.9%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $952,705 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 32 days (roughly balanced conditions).

  • Median house: $952,705 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) | Units: $791,277
  • Gross yield: 3.5% | Net yield: 2.0%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 4.9%/yr | 3yr forecast: 4.6%/yr
  • Population: 12,962 | Owner-occupier rate: 66% | Affluence: Above Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 2.2% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $650/wk | Days on market: 32 (stable)
  • Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • West Gate Tunnel (Melbourne) (Under Construction)
  • Melbourne Airport Rail (SRL Airport) (Announced)
  • West Gate Tunnel (under_construction)
  • Transport: Altona station 3.2km away

BULL CASE

If Altona North maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.5%, median prices could reach $1,095,611 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Altona North pull back 10-15% from $952,705, with vacancy rising to 4.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Flood risk: HIGH (planning_overlay) — order a flood certificate for the specific address before commit

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • St Albans (VIC): $731,405 median, 3.5% yield, 12.4% 1yr growth
  • Noble Park (VIC): $825,401 median, 3.5% yield, 6.5% 1yr growth
  • Springvale (VIC): $966,000 median, 3.2% yield, 9.1% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Altona North presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 3.5% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current stable phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $857,434$1,047,976
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.5/10
Middle-tier SEIFA — moderate gentrification pressure
Moderate capital growth (4.9% CAGR)
Inner/middle ring location (11.6km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
Active development pipeline (4207 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
4.5%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
4.1%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
3.6%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 4.9% + 10yr CAGR 5.1%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (2.2%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (4207 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

4 green8 yellow4 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.2 high impact
Days on Market
32 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
650 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
4.9 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
5.14 high impact
1yr Price Growth
1.57 medium impact
Population Growth
1.3 high impact
Median Household Income
1695 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
5.9 medium impact
Public Transport Score
2.1 medium impact
School Zone Quality
7.1 medium impact
Distance to CBD
11.63 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
5 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
66.1 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.55 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
2.05 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

534

2020

1,317

2021

678

2022

1,043

2023

635

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 3025

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 3 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

12,962

Education (IEO)

7/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

3/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Altona North VIC data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $650/wk median rent for Altona North. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Bayside P-12 College
PrimaryGovernment
6.1/10
Bayside P-12 College
SecondaryGovernment
6.1/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.