Youngtown TAS Property Investment

Northern Midlands · 7249 · Score: 57/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$717K
Rental Yield
4.1%
Vacancy Rate
2.8%
Median Weekly Rent
$570/wk
Median Unit Price
$505K
Population
4,315
Days on Market
45 days
Annual Growth
2.7%

Youngtown Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$381/night
Occupancy Rate
%
Est. Annual Revenue
$90K
AI Investment Analysis

Youngtown TAS Investment Brief

HOLD4.1% gross yield on a $717,110 median.

THE MARKET

Youngtown has compounded at 3.2%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $612,615 in 2021 is worth $717,110 today. Properties are sitting on market for 45 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $839,430 by 2031.

  • Median house: $717,110 | Units: $505,001
  • Gross yield: 4.1% | Net yield: 2.6%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 3.2%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 4,315 | Owner-occupier rate: 62% | Affluence: Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 2.8% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $570/wk | Days on market: 45 (stable)
  • Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: St Leonards station 2.8km away

BULL CASE

If Youngtown maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.0%, median prices could reach $824,676 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Youngtown pull back 10-15% from $717,110, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • West Ulverstone (TAS): $607,146 median, 4.2% yield, 16.4% 1yr growth
  • Glenorchy (TAS): $595,500 median, 5.1% yield, 9.3% 1yr growth
  • Hagley (TAS): $645,672 median, 1.6% yield, 16.4% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Youngtown offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a cooling phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.6%.

  • Entry range: $645,399$788,821
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.0/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Active development pipeline (517 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
3.2%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
2.9%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.5%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 3.2% + 10yr CAGR 4.3%

Growth drivers
  • +Above-average population growth (1.9%/yr)
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (517 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

1 green10 yellow5 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.8 high impact
Days on Market
45 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
570 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
3.23 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.3 high impact
1yr Price Growth
2.73 medium impact
Population Growth
1.93 high impact
Median Household Income
1349 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
5.2 medium impact
Public Transport Score
6.3 medium impact
School Zone Quality
7.7 medium impact
Distance to CBD
156.1 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
4 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
61.9 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
4.13 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
2.63 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

98

2020

129

2021

114

2022

85

2023

91

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 7249

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 3 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

14,056

Education (IEO)

5/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

2/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Youngtown TAS data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $570/wk median rent for Youngtown. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Youngtown Primary School
PrimaryGovernment
5.3/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.