Winnaleah TAS Property Investment

Dorset · 7265 · Score: 41/100 · Caution

Median House Price
$421K
Rental Yield
2.8%
Vacancy Rate
2.8%
Median Weekly Rent
$226/wk
Median Unit Price
N/A
Population
225
Days on Market
45 days
Annual Growth
6.5%

Winnaleah Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$261.22/night
Occupancy Rate
%
Est. Annual Revenue
$62K
AI Investment Analysis

Winnaleah TAS Investment Brief

CAUTION2.8% gross yield on a $421,019 (pending peer validation) median.

THE MARKET

Median house price in Winnaleah sits at $421,019 (pending peer validation) with 45 days on market and a 2.8% vacancy rate. This is a balanced market right now.

  • Median house: $421,019 (pending peer validation) | Units: $0
  • Gross yield: 2.8% | Net yield: 1.3%
  • 5yr price CAGR: -9.4%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 225 | Owner-occupier rate: 79% | Affluence: Low
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 2.8% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $226/wk | Days on market: 45 (stable)
  • Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Warrentinna station 10.8km away

BULL CASE

If Winnaleah maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.0%, median prices could reach $484,172 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Winnaleah pull back 10-15% from $421,019, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • George Town (TAS): $465,431 median, 4.8% yield, 25.1% 1yr growth
  • Gagebrook (TAS): $499,972 median, 4.9% yield, 2.6% 1yr growth
  • Westerway (TAS): $490,054 median, 2.9% yield, 7.9% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Winnaleah carries elevated risk that outweighs potential returns at current levels. A recovery market combined with moderate vacancy risk warrants caution. Avoid new acquisitions unless significant discount to median pricing is achievable. Re-evaluate if vacancy falls below 2.5% or annual price growth exceeds 3%.

  • Entry range: $378,917$463,121
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.5/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Active development pipeline (191 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
2.5%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
2.3%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.0%
p.a.

Basis: 1yr growth 6.5% (heavily discounted — volatile)

Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (191 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

1 green2 yellow13 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.8 high impact
Days on Market
45 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
226 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
-9.44 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
1.44 high impact
1yr Price Growth
6.55 medium impact
Population Growth
0.43 high impact
Median Household Income
927 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
6.5 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
4 medium impact
Distance to CBD
205.02 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
1 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
78.9 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.79 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.29 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

25

2020

55

2021

44

2022

39

2023

28

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 7265

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 1 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

233

Education (IEO)

5/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

2/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Winnaleah TAS data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $226/wk median rent for Winnaleah. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Winnaleah District High School
CombinedGovernment
4/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.