Waverley TAS Property Investment

Meander Valley · 7250 · Score: 49/100 · Caution

Median House Price
$557K
Rental Yield
4.6%
Vacancy Rate
2.8%
Median Weekly Rent
$495/wk
Median Unit Price
$406K
Population
1,583
Days on Market
45 days
Annual Growth
16.1%

Waverley Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$400.5/night
Occupancy Rate
35%
Est. Annual Revenue
$51K
AI Investment Analysis

Waverley TAS Investment Brief

CAUTION4.6% gross yield on a $556,949 (pending peer validation) median.

THE MARKET

Waverley has compounded at 3.2%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $556,949 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 45 days (roughly balanced conditions).

  • Median house: $556,949 (pending peer validation) | Units: $405,799
  • Gross yield: 4.6% | Net yield: 3.1%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 3.2%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 1,583 | Owner-occupier rate: 68% | Affluence: Above Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 2.8% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $495/wk | Days on market: 45 (stable)
  • Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $400/night | Occupancy: 35%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$51,164/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $25,740/yr (+99% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: East Tamar Junction station 1.9km away

BULL CASE

If Waverley maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.0%, median prices could reach $640,491 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Waverley pull back 10-15% from $556,949, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • West Ulverstone (TAS): $607,146 median, 4.2% yield, 16.4% 1yr growth
  • George Town (TAS): $465,431 median, 4.8% yield, 25.1% 1yr growth
  • Glenorchy (TAS): $595,500 median, 5.1% yield, 9.3% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Waverley carries elevated risk that outweighs potential returns at current levels. A cooling market combined with moderate vacancy risk warrants caution. Avoid new acquisitions unless significant discount to median pricing is achievable. Re-evaluate if vacancy falls below 2.5% or annual price growth exceeds 3%.

  • Entry range: $501,254$612,644
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.9%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.0/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Active development pipeline (802 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
2.8%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
2.5%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.2%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 3.2% + 10yr CAGR 3.9%

Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (802 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

2 green9 yellow5 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.8 high impact
Days on Market
45 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
495 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
3.23 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
3.91 high impact
1yr Price Growth
16.12 medium impact
Population Growth
1.25 high impact
Median Household Income
1400 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
5.4 medium impact
Public Transport Score
6.3 medium impact
School Zone Quality
3.8 medium impact
Distance to CBD
161.53 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
1 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
67.9 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
4.62 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
3.12 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

123

2020

223

2021

182

2022

141

2023

133

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 7250

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 4 of 10 — Average

Population

51,133

Education (IEO)

5/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

3/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Waverley TAS data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $495/wk median rent for Waverley. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Waverley Primary School
PrimaryGovernment
3.8/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.