St Marys TAS Property Investment
Northern Midlands · 7215 · Score: 58/100 · Hold
St Marys Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
St Marys TAS Investment Brief
HOLD — 4.2% gross yield on a $481,040 (pending peer validation) median.
THE MARKET
St Marys has compounded at 3.8%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $481,040 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 45 days (roughly balanced conditions).
- Median house: $481,040 (pending peer validation) | Units: $401,342
- Gross yield: 4.2% | Net yield: 2.7%
- 5yr price CAGR: 3.8%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 738 | Owner-occupier rate: 76% | Affluence: Below Average
- Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 2.8% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
- Median weekly rent: $385/wk | Days on market: 45 (stable)
- Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Fingal station 19.9km away
BULL CASE
If St Marys maintains 4%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.0%, median prices could reach $553,196 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in St Marys pull back 10-15% from $481,040, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Flood risk: HIGH (planning_overlay) — order a flood certificate for the specific address before commit
- - Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- West Ulverstone (TAS): $607,146 median, 4.2% yield, 16.4% 1yr growth
- George Town (TAS): $465,431 median, 4.8% yield, 25.1% 1yr growth
- Glenorchy (TAS): $595,500 median, 5.1% yield, 9.3% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
St Marys offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a recovery phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.7%.
- Entry range: $432,936 – $529,144
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 3.8% + 10yr CAGR 5.7%
- +Strong population growth (3.8%/yr) driving demand
- −High supply pipeline (517 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
98
2020
129
2021
114
2022
85
2023
91
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 7215
Decile 3 of 10 — High disadvantage
Population
4,066
Education (IEO)
3/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
2/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on St Marys TAS data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $385/wk median rent for St Marys. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Analyse a Property in St Marys
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.