Somerset TAS Property Investment

Waratah-Wynyard · 7322 · Score: 50/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$537K
Rental Yield
4.4%
Vacancy Rate
2.8%
Median Weekly Rent
$450/wk
Median Unit Price
$471K
Population
4,067
Days on Market
45 days
Annual Growth
10.0%

Somerset Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$172.5/night
Occupancy Rate
%
Est. Annual Revenue
$41K
AI Investment Analysis

Somerset TAS Investment Brief

HOLD4.4% gross yield on a $536,899 (pending peer validation) median.

THE MARKET

Somerset has compounded at 4.8%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $536,899 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 45 days (roughly balanced conditions).

  • Median house: $536,899 (pending peer validation) | Units: $470,746
  • Gross yield: 4.4% | Net yield: 2.9%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 4.8%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 4,067 | Owner-occupier rate: 70% | Affluence: Low
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 2.8% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $450/wk | Days on market: 45 (stable)
  • Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Burnie station 10.1km away

BULL CASE

If Somerset maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.0%, median prices could reach $617,434 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Somerset pull back 10-15% from $536,899, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • West Ulverstone (TAS): $607,146 median, 4.2% yield, 16.4% 1yr growth
  • George Town (TAS): $465,431 median, 4.8% yield, 25.1% 1yr growth
  • Hagley (TAS): $645,672 median, 1.6% yield, 16.4% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Somerset offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a above_trend phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.9%.

  • Entry range: $483,209$590,589
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.7%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.0/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Moderate capital growth (4.8% CAGR)
Active development pipeline (339 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
3.8%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
3.5%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
3.1%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 4.8% + 10yr CAGR 4.2%

Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (339 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

2 green7 yellow7 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.8 high impact
Days on Market
45 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
450 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
4.84 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.24 high impact
1yr Price Growth
10 medium impact
Population Growth
0.83 high impact
Median Household Income
1100 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
6.2 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
4.8 medium impact
Distance to CBD
239.5 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
1 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
69.7 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
4.36 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
2.86 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

120

2022

146

2023

73

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 7322

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 1 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

4,067

Education (IEO)

1/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

1/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Somerset TAS data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $450/wk median rent for Somerset. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Somerset Primary School
PrimaryGovernment
4.8/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.