Risdon Vale TAS Property Investment

Clarence · 7016 · Score: 63/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$553K
Rental Yield
4.9%
Vacancy Rate
1.8%
Median Weekly Rent
$525/wk
Median Unit Price
$551K
Population
3,171
Days on Market
35 days
Annual Growth
4.2%

Risdon Vale Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$134.29/night
Occupancy Rate
%
Est. Annual Revenue
$32K
AI Investment Analysis

Risdon Vale TAS Investment Brief

HOLD4.9% gross yield on a $552,930 (pending peer validation) median.

THE MARKET

Risdon Vale has compounded at 5.0%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $552,930 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 35 days (roughly balanced conditions).

  • Median house: $552,930 (pending peer validation) | Units: $550,612
  • Gross yield: 4.9% | Net yield: 3.4%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 5.0%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 3,171 | Owner-occupier rate: 64% | Affluence: Low
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 1.8% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $525/wk | Days on market: 35 (stable)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Glenorchy station 8.0km away

BULL CASE

If Risdon Vale maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.3%, median prices could reach $635,870 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Risdon Vale pull back 10-15% from $552,930, with vacancy rising to 3.2% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • No significant risk factors identified for this suburb

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • West Ulverstone (TAS): $607,146 median, 4.2% yield, 16.4% 1yr growth
  • George Town (TAS): $465,431 median, 4.8% yield, 25.1% 1yr growth
  • Glenorchy (TAS): $595,500 median, 5.1% yield, 9.3% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Risdon Vale offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a stable phase with low vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 5.4%.

  • Entry range: $497,637$608,223
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 5.2%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals5.5/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Moderate capital growth (5.0% CAGR)
Inner/middle ring location (9.3km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
Active development pipeline (2092 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
4.5%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
4.2%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
3.6%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 5.0% + 10yr CAGR 4.5%

Growth drivers
  • +Above-average population growth (2.0%/yr)
  • +Low rental vacancy (1.8%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (2092 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

3 green8 yellow5 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.8 high impact
Days on Market
35 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
525 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
4.95 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.53 high impact
1yr Price Growth
4.21 medium impact
Population Growth
2 high impact
Median Household Income
1187 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
7.9 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
3.7 medium impact
Distance to CBD
9.3 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
1 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
63.5 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
4.94 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
3.44 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

475

2020

585

2021

452

2022

348

2023

232

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 7016

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 1 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

3,171

Education (IEO)

1/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

1/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Risdon Vale TAS data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $525/wk median rent for Risdon Vale. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Risdon Vale Primary School
PrimaryGovernment
3.7/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.