Mole Creek TAS Property Investment
West Tamar · 7304 · Score: 49/100 · Caution
Mole Creek Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Mole Creek TAS Investment Brief
CAUTION — 2.2% gross yield on a $531,464 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) median.
THE MARKET
Mole Creek has compounded at 4.8%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $531,464 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 45 days (roughly balanced conditions).
- Median house: $531,464 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) | Units: $0
- Gross yield: 2.2% | Net yield: 0.8%
- 5yr price CAGR: 4.8%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 528 | Owner-occupier rate: 74% | Affluence: Below Average
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 2.8% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
- Median weekly rent: $230/wk | Days on market: 45 (stable)
- Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Sheffield station 20.3km away
BULL CASE
If Mole Creek maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.0%, median prices could reach $611,184 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Mole Creek pull back 10-15% from $531,464, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- West Ulverstone (TAS): $607,146 median, 4.2% yield, 16.4% 1yr growth
- George Town (TAS): $465,431 median, 4.8% yield, 25.1% 1yr growth
- Glenorchy (TAS): $595,500 median, 5.1% yield, 9.3% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Mole Creek carries elevated risk that outweighs potential returns at current levels. A stable market combined with moderate vacancy risk warrants caution. Avoid new acquisitions unless significant discount to median pricing is achievable. Re-evaluate if vacancy falls below 2.5% or annual price growth exceeds 3%.
- Entry range: $478,318 – $584,610
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 4.8% + 10yr CAGR 5.1%
- −High supply pipeline (818 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
163
2020
255
2021
164
2022
124
2023
112
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 7304
Decile 2 of 10 — High disadvantage
Population
6,265
Education (IEO)
3/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
3/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Mole Creek TAS data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $230/wk median rent for Mole Creek. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.