Lutana TAS Property Investment

Glenorchy · 7009 · Score: 69/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$693K
Rental Yield
4.5%
Vacancy Rate
1.8%
Median Weekly Rent
$600/wk
Median Unit Price
$532K
Population
2,616
Days on Market
35 days
Annual Growth
6.9%

Lutana Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$191/night
Occupancy Rate
%
Est. Annual Revenue
$45K
AI Investment Analysis

Lutana TAS Investment Brief

BUY4.5% gross yield on a $692,809 median.

THE MARKET

Lutana has compounded at 4.6%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $553,293 in 2021 is worth $692,809 today. Properties are sitting on market for 35 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $867,505 by 2031.

  • Median house: $692,809 | Units: $531,656
  • Gross yield: 4.5% | Net yield: 3.0%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 4.6%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 2,616 | Owner-occupier rate: 58% | Affluence: Below Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 1.8% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $600/wk | Days on market: 35 (stable)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Glenorchy station 2.9km away

BULL CASE

If Lutana maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.3%, median prices could reach $796,730 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Lutana pull back 10-15% from $692,809, with vacancy rising to 3.2% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • No significant risk factors identified for this suburb

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Glenorchy (TAS): $595,500 median, 5.1% yield, 9.3% 1yr growth
  • Hagley (TAS): $645,672 median, 1.6% yield, 16.4% 1yr growth
  • Bagdad (TAS): $579,636 median, 2.4% yield, 6.6% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Lutana presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 4.5% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current stable phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $623,528$762,090
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.8%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Active gentrification6.5/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Moderate capital growth (4.6% CAGR)
Inner/middle ring location (4.8km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
Mixed tenure (39% renters) — transitional suburb profile
Active development pipeline (1121 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
4.4%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
4.1%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
3.5%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 4.6% + 10yr CAGR 4.8%

Growth drivers
  • +Above-average population growth (2.2%/yr)
  • +Low rental vacancy (1.8%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (1121 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

4 green10 yellow2 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.8 high impact
Days on Market
35 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
600 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
4.57 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.85 high impact
1yr Price Growth
6.88 medium impact
Population Growth
2.22 high impact
Median Household Income
1427 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
7.8 medium impact
Public Transport Score
7.5 medium impact
School Zone Quality
7 medium impact
Distance to CBD
4.78 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
1 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
58.3 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
4.5 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
3 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

233

2020

264

2021

233

2022

272

2023

119

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 7009

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 2 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

13,898

Education (IEO)

5/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

1/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Lutana TAS data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $600/wk median rent for Lutana. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Bowen Road Primary School
PrimaryGovernment
4.9/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.