Chigwell TAS Property Investment
Derwent Valley · 7011 · Score: 60/100 · Hold
Chigwell Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Chigwell TAS Investment Brief
HOLD — 4.5% gross yield on a $630,764 median.
THE MARKET
Chigwell has compounded at 3.2%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $538,851 in 2021 is worth $630,764 today. Properties are sitting on market for 35 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $738,355 by 2031.
- Median house: $630,764 | Units: $529,812
- Gross yield: 4.5% | Net yield: 3.0%
- 5yr price CAGR: 3.2%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 2,050 | Owner-occupier rate: 64% | Affluence: Below Average
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 1.8% (improving) | Rental demand: High
- Median weekly rent: $550/wk | Days on market: 35 (stable)
- Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Berriedale station 1.1km away
BULL CASE
If Chigwell maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.3%, median prices could reach $725,379 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Chigwell pull back 10-15% from $630,764, with vacancy rising to 3.2% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- No significant risk factors identified for this suburb
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- George Town (TAS): $465,431 median, 4.8% yield, 25.1% 1yr growth
- Glenorchy (TAS): $595,500 median, 5.1% yield, 9.3% 1yr growth
- Hagley (TAS): $645,672 median, 1.6% yield, 16.4% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Chigwell offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a cooling phase with low vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 5.0%.
- Entry range: $567,688 – $693,840
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.8%
- Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 3.2% + 10yr CAGR 4.0%
- +Low rental vacancy (1.8%) — constrained supply
- −High supply pipeline (326 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
28
2020
88
2021
126
2022
41
2023
43
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 7011
Decile 2 of 10 — High disadvantage
Population
15,742
Education (IEO)
2/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
2/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Chigwell TAS data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $550/wk median rent for Chigwell. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.