Blackmans Bay TAS Property Investment
Kingborough · 7052 · Score: 68/100 · Buy
Blackmans Bay Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Blackmans Bay TAS Investment Brief
BUY — 3.5% gross yield on a $932,700 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) median.
THE MARKET
Blackmans Bay has compounded at 5.0%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $932,700 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 35 days (roughly balanced conditions).
- Median house: $932,700 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) | Units: $639,059
- Gross yield: 3.5% | Net yield: 2.0%
- 5yr price CAGR: 5.0%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 7,688 | Owner-occupier rate: 77% | Affluence: High
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 1.8% (improving) | Rental demand: High
- Median weekly rent: $630/wk | Days on market: 35 (stable)
- Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Glenorchy station 20.0km away
BULL CASE
If Blackmans Bay maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.3%, median prices could reach $1,072,605 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Blackmans Bay pull back 10-15% from $932,700, with vacancy rising to 3.2% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- No significant risk factors identified for this suburb
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Cygnet (TAS): $711,804 median, 3.6% yield, 4.0% 1yr growth
- Mount Stuart (TAS): $908,113 median, 3.9% yield, 0.6% 1yr growth
- Taroona (TAS): $974,724 median, 3.9% yield, 10.4% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Blackmans Bay presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 3.5% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current stable phase of the market cycle.
- Entry range: $839,430 – $1,025,970
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 5.0% + 10yr CAGR 5.0%
- +Low rental vacancy (1.8%) — constrained supply
- −High supply pipeline (1121 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
278
2020
329
2021
182
2022
223
2023
109
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 7052
Decile 9 of 10 — Low disadvantage
Population
7,688
Education (IEO)
8/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
7/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Blackmans Bay TAS data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $630/wk median rent for Blackmans Bay. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.