Whyalla SA Property Investment

Unincorporated SA · 5600 · Score: 53/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$369K
Rental Yield
5.5%
Vacancy Rate
1.8%
Median Weekly Rent
$393/wk
Median Unit Price
$347K
Population
3,609
Days on Market
30 days
Annual Growth
5.6%

Whyalla Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$605.88/night
Occupancy Rate
42%
Est. Annual Revenue
$93K
AI Investment Analysis

Whyalla SA Investment Brief

HOLD — vacancy at 1.8% and $393/wk rent puts this in the top tier of SA yield suburbs.

THE MARKET

Whyalla has compounded at 0.4%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $361,519 in 2021 is worth $368,807 today. Properties are sitting on market for 30 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $376,242 by 2031.

  • Median house: $368,807 | Units: $347,030
  • Gross yield: 5.5% | Net yield: 4.0%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 0.4%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 3,609 | Owner-occupier rate: 71% | Affluence: Above Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 1.8% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $393/wk | Days on market: 30 (stable)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $606/night | Occupancy: 42%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$92,881/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $20,436/yr (+354% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Whyalla maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.3%, median prices could reach $424,128 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Whyalla pull back 10-15% from $368,807, with vacancy rising to 3.2% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Cummins (SA): $438,044 median, 2.1% yield, 11.4% 1yr growth
  • Elliston (SA): $341,559 median, 3.0% yield, 20.4% 1yr growth
  • Jamestown (SA): $378,681 median, 5.7% yield, -1.5% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Whyalla offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a recovery phase with low vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 6.0%.

  • Entry range: $331,926$405,688
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 5.8%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.2/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Moderate development activity (24 approvals)
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
1.0%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
0.9%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
0.8%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 0.4% + 10yr CAGR 2.7%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (1.8%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • Population decline (-0.2%/yr) — demand headwind

Suburb Metric Thresholds

4 green6 yellow6 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.8 high impact
Days on Market
30 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
393 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
0.38 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
2.71 high impact
1yr Price Growth
5.64 medium impact
Population Growth
-0.17 high impact
Median Household Income
1548 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
5 medium impact
Public Transport Score
6.8 medium impact
School Zone Quality
6.1 medium impact
Distance to CBD
230.5 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
1 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
71.1 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
5.54 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
4.04 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

4

2020

4

2021

6

2022

5

2023

5

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 5600

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 5 of 10 — Average

Population

6,150

Education (IEO)

4/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

3/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Whyalla SA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $393/wk median rent for Whyalla. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.