Tailem Bend SA Property Investment
Alexandrina · 5259 · Score: 47/100 · Caution
Tailem Bend Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Tailem Bend SA Investment Brief
CAUTION — 2.8% gross yield on a $279,000 (pending peer validation) median.
THE MARKET
Tailem Bend has compounded at 4.0%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $279,000 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 25 days (sellers have the leverage).
- Median house: $279,000 (pending peer validation) | Units: $0
- Gross yield: 2.8% | Net yield: 1.3%
- 5yr price CAGR: 4.0%/yr | 3yr forecast: 3.6%/yr
- Population: 1,705 | Owner-occupier rate: 66% | Affluence: Below Average
- Supply pipeline: Moderate — Development activity consistent with long-term averages
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 1.4% (improving) | Rental demand: Very High
- Median weekly rent: $150/wk | Days on market: 25 (stable)
- Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $544/night | Occupancy: 42%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$83,386/yr
- vs long-term rent: $7,800/yr (+969% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Tailem Bend station 0.2km away
BULL CASE
If Tailem Bend maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.0%, median prices could reach $320,850 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Tailem Bend pull back 10-15% from $279,000, with vacancy rising to 2.5% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Light Pass (SA): $326,000 median, 4.7% yield, 12.1% 1yr growth
- Morgan (SA): $355,160 median, 2.6% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
- Lameroo (SA): $247,728 median, 3.4% yield, 14.5% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Tailem Bend carries elevated risk that outweighs potential returns at current levels. A boom market combined with low vacancy risk warrants caution. Avoid new acquisitions unless significant discount to median pricing is achievable. Re-evaluate if vacancy falls below 2.5% or annual price growth exceeds 3%.
- Entry range: $251,100 – $306,900
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 4.0% + 10yr CAGR 1.5%
- +Very tight rental market (vacancy 1.4%) — upward price pressure
- +Active market (25 days avg)
- −High supply pipeline (1754 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
234
2020
351
2021
348
2022
346
2023
475
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 5259
Decile 3 of 10 — High disadvantage
Population
1,111
Education (IEO)
3/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
3/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Tailem Bend SA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $150/wk median rent for Tailem Bend. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.