Stirling North SA Property Investment

Port Augusta · 5710 · Score: 57/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$440K
Rental Yield
4.7%
Vacancy Rate
1.8%
Median Weekly Rent
$395/wk
Median Unit Price
$258K
Population
2,793
Days on Market
30 days
Annual Growth
0.0%

Stirling North Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$416.12/night
Occupancy Rate
42%
Est. Annual Revenue
$64K
AI Investment Analysis

Stirling North SA Investment Brief

HOLD4.7% gross yield on a $440,091 (pending peer validation) median.

THE MARKET

Stirling North has compounded at 0.4%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $440,091 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 30 days (roughly balanced conditions).

  • Median house: $440,091 (pending peer validation) | Units: $258,038
  • Gross yield: 4.7% | Net yield: 3.2%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 0.4%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 2,793 | Owner-occupier rate: 82% | Affluence: Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 1.8% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $395/wk | Days on market: 30 (stable)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $416/night | Occupancy: 42%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$63,791/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $20,540/yr (+211% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Port Augusta station 6.7km away

BULL CASE

If Stirling North maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.3%, median prices could reach $506,105 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Stirling North pull back 10-15% from $440,091, with vacancy rising to 3.2% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Cummins (SA): $438,044 median, 2.1% yield, 11.4% 1yr growth
  • Elliston (SA): $341,559 median, 3.0% yield, 20.4% 1yr growth
  • Jamestown (SA): $378,681 median, 5.7% yield, -1.5% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Stirling North offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a recovery phase with low vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 5.2%.

  • Entry range: $396,082$484,100
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 5.0%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.5/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Active development pipeline (143 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
1.3%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
1.2%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
1.1%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 0.4% + 10yr CAGR 4.0%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (1.8%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (143 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

3 green7 yellow6 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.8 high impact
Days on Market
30 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
395 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
0.41 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
3.99 high impact
1yr Price Growth
0 medium impact
Population Growth
0.88 high impact
Median Household Income
1831 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.3 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
4.9 medium impact
Distance to CBD
277.41 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
4 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
81.7 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
4.67 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
3.17 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

17

2020

16

2021

46

2022

52

2023

12

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 5710

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 6 of 10 — Average

Population

2,793

Education (IEO)

2/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

7/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Stirling North SA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $395/wk median rent for Stirling North. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.