Semaphore Park SA Property Investment

Charles Sturt · 5019 · Score: 60/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$915K
Rental Yield
3.0%
Vacancy Rate
0.8%
Median Weekly Rent
$650/wk
Median Unit Price
$807K
Population
4,541
Days on Market
20 days
Annual Growth
5.8%

Semaphore Park Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$575.81/night
Occupancy Rate
42%
Est. Annual Revenue
$88K
AI Investment Analysis

Semaphore Park SA Investment Brief

HOLD3.0% gross yield on a $915,000$1,166,909 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) median.

THE MARKET

Semaphore Park has compounded at 3.2%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $915,000$1,166,909 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 20 days (sellers have the leverage).

  • Median house: $915,000$1,166,909 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) | Units: $806,622
  • Gross yield: 3.0% | Net yield: 1.5%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 3.2%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 4,541 | Owner-occupier rate: 63% | Affluence: Above Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 0.8% (improving) | Rental demand: Very High
  • Median weekly rent: $650/wk | Days on market: 20 (improving)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $576/night | Occupancy: 42%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$88,272/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $33,800/yr (+161% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Adelaide Metro Train Services Franchise (Under Delivery)
  • North South Corridor (South Australia) (Under Construction)
  • Transport: Fort Glanville station 0.7km away

BULL CASE

If Semaphore Park maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $1,282,250 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Semaphore Park pull back 10-15% from $1,115,000, with vacancy rising to 1.4% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Flood risk: HIGH (planning_overlay) — order a flood certificate for the specific address before commit

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Elizabeth (SA): $817,500 median, 3.1% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
  • Gepps Cross (SA): $912,646 median, 1.9% yield, 2.1% 1yr growth
  • Kilburn (SA): $1,093,556 median, 2.8% yield, 31.9% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Semaphore Park offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a cooling phase with low vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.

  • Entry range: $1,003,500$1,226,500
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.0/10
Middle-tier SEIFA — moderate gentrification pressure
Inner/middle ring location (13.5km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
Active development pipeline (5835 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
3.8%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
3.5%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
3.0%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 3.2% + 10yr CAGR 4.6%

Growth drivers
  • +Very tight rental market (vacancy 0.8%) — upward price pressure
  • +Active market (20 days avg)
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (5835 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

4 green8 yellow3 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
0.8 high impact
Days on Market
20 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
650 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
3.23 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.57 high impact
1yr Price Growth
5.78 medium impact
Population Growth
0.57 high impact
Median Household Income
1437 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
4.9 medium impact
Public Transport Score
No data medium impact
School Zone Quality
6.3 medium impact
Distance to CBD
13.49 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
6 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
63.1 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.03 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.53 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

1,345

2020

1,131

2021

1,091

2022

805

2023

1,463

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 5019

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 5 of 10 — Average

Population

9,385

Education (IEO)

7/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

3/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Semaphore Park SA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $650/wk median rent for Semaphore Park. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Le Fevre High School
SecondaryGovernment
5.1/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.