Seaford Rise SA Property Investment
Onkaparinga · 5169 · Score: 67/100 · Buy
Seaford Rise Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Seaford Rise SA Investment Brief
BUY — 3.7% gross yield on a $762,000–$947,349 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) median.
THE MARKET
Seaford Rise has compounded at 2.8%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $762,000–$947,349 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 20 days (sellers have the leverage).
- Median house: $762,000–$947,349 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) | Units: $776,786
- Gross yield: 3.7% | Net yield: 2.2%
- 5yr price CAGR: 2.8%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 6,105 | Owner-occupier rate: 70% | Affluence: Average
- Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 0.8% (improving) | Rental demand: Very High
- Median weekly rent: $620/wk | Days on market: 20 (improving)
- Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $534/night | Occupancy: 42%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$81,920/yr
- vs long-term rent: $32,240/yr (+154% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Seaford station 1.5km away
BULL CASE
If Seaford Rise maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $1,000,500 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Seaford Rise pull back 10-15% from $870,000, with vacancy rising to 1.4% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- No significant risk factors identified for this suburb
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Elizabeth (SA): $817,500 median, 3.1% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
- Gepps Cross (SA): $912,646 median, 1.9% yield, 2.1% 1yr growth
- Elizabeth Park (SA): $671,000 median, 3.9% yield, 16.7% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Seaford Rise presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and very high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 3.7% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current recovery phase of the market cycle.
- Entry range: $783,000 – $957,000
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 2.8% + 10yr CAGR 4.6%
- +Strong population growth (3.3%/yr) driving demand
- +Very tight rental market (vacancy 0.8%) — upward price pressure
- +Active market (20 days avg)
- −High supply pipeline (4489 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
872
2020
1,074
2021
814
2022
839
2023
890
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 5169
Decile 5 of 10 — Average
Population
20,086
Education (IEO)
4/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
5/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Seaford Rise SA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $620/wk median rent for Seaford Rise. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.