Roxby Downs SA Property Investment
Unincorporated SA · 5725 · Score: 57/100 · Hold
Roxby Downs Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Roxby Downs SA Investment Brief
HOLD — vacancy at 1.8% and $370/wk rent puts this in the top tier of SA yield suburbs.
THE MARKET
Median house price in Roxby Downs sits at $256,779 (pending peer validation) with 30 days on market and a 1.8% vacancy rate. This is a tight rental market right now.
- Median house: $256,779 (pending peer validation) | Units: $253,459
- Gross yield: 7.5% | Net yield: 6.0%
- 5yr price CAGR: -2.3%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 3,671 | Owner-occupier rate: 28% | Affluence: High
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 1.8% (improving) | Rental demand: High
- Median weekly rent: $370/wk | Days on market: 30 (stable)
- Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $244/night | Occupancy: 20%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$18,187/yr
- vs long-term rent: $19,240/yr (comparable — LTR offers simpler management)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- BHP Olympic Dam Expansion (Announced)
- Transport: Standard suburban transport access
BULL CASE
If Roxby Downs maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.3%, median prices could reach $295,296 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Roxby Downs pull back 10-15% from $256,779, with vacancy rising to 3.2% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Lock (SA): $251,871 median, 2.5% yield, 23.7% 1yr growth
- Whyalla Norrie (SA): $319,785 median, 5.4% yield, 26.4% 1yr growth
- Woomera (SA): $241,000 median, 2.2% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Roxby Downs offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a stable phase with low vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 8.0%.
- Entry range: $231,101 – $282,457
- Minimum gross yield to target: 7.8%
- Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
medium confidenceBasis: 3yr growth 6.6% (discounted)
- +Low rental vacancy (1.8%) — constrained supply
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
4
2020
4
2021
6
2022
5
2023
5
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 5725
Decile 8 of 10 — Low disadvantage
Population
3,976
Education (IEO)
3/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
6/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Roxby Downs SA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $370/wk median rent for Roxby Downs. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.