North Adelaide SA Property Investment

Adelaide · 5006 · Score: 64/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$1.52M
Rental Yield
1.5%
Vacancy Rate
0.8%
Median Weekly Rent
$710/wk
Median Unit Price
$905K
Population
6,823
Days on Market
24 days
Annual Growth
13.6%

North Adelaide Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$517.44/night
Occupancy Rate
42%
Est. Annual Revenue
$79K
AI Investment Analysis

North Adelaide SA Investment Brief

HOLD1.5% gross yield on a $1,525,000$1,701,238 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) median.

THE MARKET

North Adelaide has compounded at 2.8%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $1,525,000$1,701,238 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 24 days (sellers have the leverage).

  • Median house: $1,525,000$1,701,238 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) | Units: $904,969
  • Gross yield: 1.5% | Net yield: -0.0%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 2.8%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 6,823 | Owner-occupier rate: 51% | Affluence: Very High
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 0.8% (improving) | Rental demand: Very High
  • Median weekly rent: $710/wk | Days on market: 24 (improving)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $517/night | Occupancy: 42%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$79,324/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $36,920/yr (+115% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Adelaide Metro Train Services Franchise (Under Delivery)
  • North South Corridor (South Australia) (Under Construction)
  • Transport: Festival Plaza station 1.1km away

BULL CASE

If North Adelaide maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $2,852,000 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in North Adelaide pull back 10-15% from $2,480,000, with vacancy rising to 1.4% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Bushfire risk: HIGH (planning_overlay) — confirm BAL rating and any bushfire overlay obligations for the property
  • - Premium price point limits buyer pool and increases interest rate sensitivity

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • College Park (SA): $3,000,000 median, 1.2% yield, 28.5% 1yr growth
  • Glen Osmond (SA): $2,034,000 median, 2.6% yield, -6.0% 1yr growth
  • Collinswood (SA): $1,850,000 median, 2.0% yield, 15.8% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

North Adelaide offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a cooling phase with low vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.

  • Entry range: $2,232,000$2,728,000
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.5/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Inner city location — already gentrified or premium
High renter base (47%) — room for tenure upgrade as area improves
Active development pipeline (1697 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
2.7%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
2.5%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.2%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 2.8% + 10yr CAGR 3.9%

Growth drivers
  • +Very tight rental market (vacancy 0.8%) — upward price pressure
  • +Active market (24 days avg)
  • +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
Headwinds
  • Population decline (-0.4%/yr) — demand headwind
  • High supply pipeline (1697 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

8 green3 yellow5 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
0.8 high impact
Days on Market
24 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
710 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
2.84 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
3.85 high impact
1yr Price Growth
13.59 medium impact
Population Growth
-0.37 high impact
Median Household Income
1867 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
6.1 medium impact
Public Transport Score
10 medium impact
School Zone Quality
8.2 medium impact
Distance to CBD
2 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
9 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
50.7 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
1.49 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
-0.01 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

298

2020

184

2021

695

2022

409

2023

111

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 5006

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 9 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

6,823

Education (IEO)

10/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

3/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on North Adelaide SA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $710/wk median rent for North Adelaide. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

North Adelaide Primary School
PrimaryGovernment
8.8/10
Adelaide Botanic High School
SecondaryGovernment
8/10
Adelaide High School
SecondaryGovernment
7.7/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.