Nangwarry SA Property Investment
Grant · 5277 · Score: 45/100 · Caution
Nangwarry Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Nangwarry SA Investment Brief
CAUTION — 3.2% gross yield on a $305,000 (pending peer validation) median.
THE MARKET
Nangwarry has compounded at 3.2%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $305,000 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 30 days (roughly balanced conditions).
- Median house: $305,000 (pending peer validation) | Units: $0
- Gross yield: 3.2% | Net yield: 1.7%
- 5yr price CAGR: 3.2%/yr | 3yr forecast: 2.9%/yr
- Population: 505 | Owner-occupier rate: 74% | Affluence: Below Average
- Supply pipeline: Moderate — Development activity consistent with long-term averages
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 1.8% (improving) | Rental demand: High
- Median weekly rent: $190/wk | Days on market: 30 (stable)
- Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $498/night | Occupancy: 42%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$76,325/yr
- vs long-term rent: $9,880/yr (+673% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Standard suburban transport access
BULL CASE
If Nangwarry maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.3%, median prices could reach $350,750 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Nangwarry pull back 10-15% from $305,000, with vacancy rising to 3.2% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Jamestown (SA): $378,681 median, 5.7% yield, -1.5% 1yr growth
- Kalangadoo (SA): $381,729 median, 2.2% yield, 21.5% 1yr growth
- Light Pass (SA): $326,000 median, 4.7% yield, 12.1% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Nangwarry carries elevated risk that outweighs potential returns at current levels. A cooling market combined with low vacancy risk warrants caution. Avoid new acquisitions unless significant discount to median pricing is achievable. Re-evaluate if vacancy falls below 2.5% or annual price growth exceeds 3%.
- Entry range: $274,500 – $335,500
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
low confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 3.2% + 10yr CAGR 3.9%
- +Low rental vacancy (1.8%) — constrained supply
- −Population decline (-0.2%/yr) — demand headwind
- −High supply pipeline (260 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
39
2020
59
2021
61
2022
45
2023
56
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 5277
Decile 3 of 10 — High disadvantage
Population
2,885
Education (IEO)
2/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
3/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Nangwarry SA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $190/wk median rent for Nangwarry. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.