Mount Gambier SA Property Investment
Mount Gambier · 5290 · Score: 50/100 · Hold
Mount Gambier Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Mount Gambier SA Investment Brief
HOLD — 4.2% gross yield on a $579,262 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) median.
THE MARKET
Mount Gambier has compounded at 2.0%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $579,262 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 30 days (roughly balanced conditions).
- Median house: $579,262 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) | Units: $420,116
- Gross yield: 4.2% | Net yield: 2.7%
- 5yr price CAGR: 2.0%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 25,591 | Owner-occupier rate: 63% | Affluence: Low
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 1.8% (improving) | Rental demand: High
- Median weekly rent: $470/wk | Days on market: 30 (stable)
- Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $406/night | Occupancy: 42%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$62,278/yr
- vs long-term rent: $24,440/yr (+155% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Standard suburban transport access
BULL CASE
If Mount Gambier maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.3%, median prices could reach $666,151 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Mount Gambier pull back 10-15% from $579,262, with vacancy rising to 3.2% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Elizabeth Park (SA): $671,000 median, 3.9% yield, 16.7% 1yr growth
- Napperby (SA): $450,567 median, 2.1% yield, 20.3% 1yr growth
- Salisbury North (SA): $753,000 median, 3.8% yield, 10.3% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Mount Gambier offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a cooling phase with low vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.7%.
- Entry range: $521,336 – $637,188
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 2.0% + 10yr CAGR 2.8%
- +Low rental vacancy (1.8%) — constrained supply
- −High supply pipeline (685 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
70
2020
198
2021
135
2022
160
2023
122
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 5290
Decile 2 of 10 — High disadvantage
Population
25,591
Education (IEO)
1/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
1/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Mount Gambier SA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $470/wk median rent for Mount Gambier. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.