Leigh Creek SA Property Investment

Unincorporated SA · 5731 · Score: 38/100 · Caution

Median House Price
$257K
Rental Yield
1.7%
Vacancy Rate
1.8%
Median Weekly Rent
$84/wk
Median Unit Price
N/A
Population
91
Days on Market
30 days
Annual Growth
N/A
AI Investment Analysis

Leigh Creek SA Investment Brief

CAUTION1.7% gross yield on a $257,000 (pending peer validation) median.

THE MARKET

Leigh Creek has compounded at 1.6%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $257,000 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 30 days (roughly balanced conditions).

  • Median house: $257,000 (pending peer validation) | Units: $0
  • Gross yield: 1.7% | Net yield: 0.2%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 1.6%/yr | 3yr forecast: 1.8%/yr
  • Population: 91 | Owner-occupier rate: 7% | Affluence: Average
  • Supply pipeline: Moderate — Development activity consistent with long-term averages

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 1.8% (stable) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $84/wk | Days on market: 30 (stable)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Leigh Creek maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.3%, median prices could reach $295,550 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Leigh Creek pull back 10-15% from $257,000, with vacancy rising to 3.2% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Lock (SA): $251,871 median, 2.5% yield, 23.7% 1yr growth
  • Roxby Downs (SA): $256,779 median, 7.5% yield, 4.3% 1yr growth
  • Whyalla Norrie (SA): $319,785 median, 5.4% yield, 26.4% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Leigh Creek carries elevated risk that outweighs potential returns at current levels. A growth market combined with low vacancy risk warrants caution. Avoid new acquisitions unless significant discount to median pricing is achievable. Re-evaluate if vacancy falls below 2.5% or annual price growth exceeds 3%.

  • Entry range: $231,300$282,700
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.8/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
High renter base (66%) — room for tenure upgrade as area improves
Moderate development activity (24 approvals)

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
2.5%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
2.3%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.0%
p.a.

Basis: National long-run average (no local data)

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (1.8%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • Population decline (-14.1%/yr) — demand headwind

Suburb Metric Thresholds

1 green4 yellow7 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.8 high impact
Days on Market
30 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
84 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
No data high impact
10yr Price CAGR
No data high impact
1yr Price Growth
No data medium impact
Population Growth
-14.05 high impact
Median Household Income
1541 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
5 medium impact
Public Transport Score
No data medium impact
School Zone Quality
1 medium impact
Distance to CBD
482.7 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
4 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
7.1 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
1.7 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
0.2 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

4

2020

4

2021

6

2022

5

2023

5

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 5731

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 3 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

234

Education (IEO)

5/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

1/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Leigh Creek SA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $84/wk median rent for Leigh Creek. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.