Henley Beach South SA Property Investment

Charles Sturt · 5022 · Score: 68/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$1.47M
Rental Yield
2.1%
Vacancy Rate
0.8%
Median Weekly Rent
$850/wk
Median Unit Price
$709K
Population
2,799
Days on Market
20 days
Annual Growth
30.0%

Henley Beach South Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$660.75/night
Occupancy Rate
42%
Est. Annual Revenue
$101K
AI Investment Analysis

Henley Beach South SA Investment Brief

BUY2.1% gross yield on a $1,469,000$1,767,444 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) median.

THE MARKET

Henley Beach South has compounded at 4.7%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $1,469,000$1,767,444 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 20 days (sellers have the leverage).

  • Median house: $1,469,000$1,767,444 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) | Units: $709,094
  • Gross yield: 2.1% | Net yield: 0.6%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 4.7%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 2,799 | Owner-occupier rate: 70% | Affluence: Very High
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 0.8% (improving) | Rental demand: Very High
  • Median weekly rent: $850/wk | Days on market: 20 (improving)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $661/night | Occupancy: 42%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$101,293/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $44,200/yr (+129% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Adelaide Metro Train Services Franchise (Under Delivery)
  • North South Corridor (South Australia) (Under Construction)
  • Transport: East Grange station 3.1km away

BULL CASE

If Henley Beach South maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $2,427,938 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Henley Beach South pull back 10-15% from $2,111,250, with vacancy rising to 1.4% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Premium price point limits buyer pool and increases interest rate sensitivity

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Croydon (SA): $1,560,000 median, 2.0% yield, 5.8% 1yr growth
  • Grange (SA): $1,737,500 median, 2.4% yield, 2.6% 1yr growth
  • Adelaide (SA): $1,585,000 median, 2.2% yield, 21.4% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Henley Beach South presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and very high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 2.1% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current cooling phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $1,900,125$2,322,375
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.0/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Moderate capital growth (4.7% CAGR)
Inner/middle ring location (9.1km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
Active development pipeline (5835 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
5.0%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
4.6%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
4.0%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 4.7% + 10yr CAGR 5.4%

Growth drivers
  • +Very tight rental market (vacancy 0.8%) — upward price pressure
  • +Active market (20 days avg)
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (5835 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

11 green3 yellow2 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
0.8 high impact
Days on Market
20 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
850 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
4.65 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
5.41 high impact
1yr Price Growth
30 medium impact
Population Growth
0.75 high impact
Median Household Income
1871 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.6 medium impact
Public Transport Score
7.3 medium impact
School Zone Quality
8.4 medium impact
Distance to CBD
9.09 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
9 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
70.2 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.09 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
0.59 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

1,345

2020

1,131

2021

1,091

2022

805

2023

1,463

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 5022

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 9 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

16,343

Education (IEO)

9/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

7/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Henley Beach South SA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $850/wk median rent for Henley Beach South. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Henley Beach Primary School
PrimaryGovernment
7.9/10
Henley High School
SecondaryGovernment
6.9/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.