College Park SA Property Investment

Norwood Payneham and St Peters · 5069 · Score: 66/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$3.00M
Rental Yield
1.2%
Vacancy Rate
0.8%
Median Weekly Rent
$698/wk
Median Unit Price
$1.03M
Population
755
Days on Market
20 days
Annual Growth
28.5%

College Park Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$475.25/night
Occupancy Rate
42%
Est. Annual Revenue
$73K
AI Investment Analysis

College Park SA Investment Brief

BUY1.2% gross yield on a $3,000,000 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) median.

THE MARKET

College Park has compounded at 5.0%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $3,000,000 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 20 days (sellers have the leverage).

  • Median house: $3,000,000 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) | Units: $1,032,739
  • Gross yield: 1.2% | Net yield: -0.3%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 5.0%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 755 | Owner-occupier rate: 65% | Affluence: Very High
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 0.8% (improving) | Rental demand: Very High
  • Median weekly rent: $698/wk | Days on market: 20 (improving)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $475/night | Occupancy: 42%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$72,856/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $36,296/yr (+101% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Adelaide Metro Train Services Franchise (Under Delivery)
  • North South Corridor (South Australia) (Under Construction)
  • Transport: Botanic Gardens station 1.5km away

BULL CASE

If College Park maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $3,450,000 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in College Park pull back 10-15% from $3,000,000, with vacancy rising to 1.4% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Bushfire risk: HIGH (planning_overlay) — confirm BAL rating and any bushfire overlay obligations for the property
  • - Premium price point limits buyer pool and increases interest rate sensitivity

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Torrens Park (SA): $2,340,000 median, 2.0% yield, -27.3% 1yr growth
  • Malvern (SA): $2,650,750 median, 2.3% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
  • Tennyson (SA): $3,720,000 median, 1.1% yield, 24.5% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

College Park presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and very high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 1.2% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current above_trend phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $2,700,000$3,300,000
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.0/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Moderate capital growth (5.0% CAGR)
Inner city location — already gentrified or premium
Active development pipeline (680 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
4.8%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
4.4%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
3.8%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 5.0% + 10yr CAGR 4.4%

Growth drivers
  • +Very tight rental market (vacancy 0.8%) — upward price pressure
  • +Active market (20 days avg)
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (680 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

8 green5 yellow3 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
0.8 high impact
Days on Market
20 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
698 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
5.01 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.36 high impact
1yr Price Growth
28.54 medium impact
Population Growth
0.23 high impact
Median Household Income
1976 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
4.6 medium impact
Public Transport Score
7.9 medium impact
School Zone Quality
7.7 medium impact
Distance to CBD
2.6 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
9 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
64.6 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
1.21 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
-0.29 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

176

2022

316

2023

188

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 5069

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 9 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

8,387

Education (IEO)

10/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

6/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on College Park SA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $698/wk median rent for College Park. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Walkerville Primary School
PrimaryGovernment
8.6/10
East Adelaide School
PrimaryGovernment
8.3/10
Adelaide Botanic High School
SecondaryGovernment
8/10
Adelaide High School
SecondaryGovernment
7.7/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.