Auburn SA Property Investment

Clare and Gilbert Valleys · 5451 · Score: 51/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$592K
Rental Yield
2.2%
Vacancy Rate
1.5%
Median Weekly Rent
$250/wk
Median Unit Price
$273K
Population
668
Days on Market
27 days
Annual Growth
15.5%

Auburn Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$411.12/night
Occupancy Rate
42%
Est. Annual Revenue
$63K
AI Investment Analysis

Auburn SA Investment Brief

HOLD2.2% gross yield on a $592,118 (pending peer validation) median.

THE MARKET

Auburn has compounded at 1.7%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $592,118 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 27 days (sellers have the leverage).

  • Median house: $592,118 (pending peer validation) | Units: $273,410
  • Gross yield: 2.2% | Net yield: 0.7%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 1.7%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 668 | Owner-occupier rate: 81% | Affluence: Above Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 1.5% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $250/wk | Days on market: 27 (stable)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $411/night | Occupancy: 42%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$63,025/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $13,000/yr (+385% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Auburn maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.0%, median prices could reach $680,936 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Auburn pull back 10-15% from $592,118, with vacancy rising to 2.7% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Port Lincoln (SA): $580,255 median, 4.7% yield, 15.4% 1yr growth
  • Keyneton (SA): $536,907 median, 2.4% yield, 5.3% 1yr growth
  • Mount Gambier (SA): $579,262 median, 4.2% yield, 12.5% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Auburn offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a recovery phase with low vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.

  • Entry range: $532,906$651,330
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification2.5/10
Middle-tier SEIFA — moderate gentrification pressure
Active development pipeline (197 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
2.6%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
2.3%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.0%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 1.7% + 10yr CAGR 4.4%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (1.5%) — constrained supply
  • +Active market (27 days avg)
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (197 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

4 green4 yellow7 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.5 high impact
Days on Market
27 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
250 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
1.71 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.44 high impact
1yr Price Growth
15.46 medium impact
Population Growth
0.2 high impact
Median Household Income
1241 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
1.9 medium impact
Public Transport Score
No data medium impact
School Zone Quality
6.3 medium impact
Distance to CBD
100.52 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
5 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
81 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.2 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
0.7 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

34

2020

40

2021

42

2022

48

2023

33

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 5451

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 6 of 10 — Average

Population

702

Education (IEO)

6/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

6/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Auburn SA data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $250/wk median rent for Auburn. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.