Woongoolba QLD Property Investment

Gold Coast · 4207 · Score: 61/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$1.55M
Rental Yield
1.2%
Vacancy Rate
2.1%
Median Weekly Rent
$350/wk
Median Unit Price
$840K
Population
282
Days on Market
36 days
Annual Growth
14.0%

Woongoolba Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$393.31/night
Occupancy Rate
44%
Est. Annual Revenue
$63K
AI Investment Analysis

Woongoolba QLD Investment Brief

HOLD1.2% gross yield on a $1,554,042 median.

THE MARKET

Woongoolba has compounded at 3.0%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $1,340,530 in 2021 is worth $1,554,042 today. Properties are sitting on market for 36 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $1,801,561 by 2031.

  • Median house: $1,554,042 | Units: $839,542
  • Gross yield: 1.2% | Net yield: -0.3%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 3.0%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 282 | Owner-occupier rate: 58% | Affluence: Below Average
  • Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 2.1% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $350/wk | Days on market: 36 (stable)
  • Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $393/night | Occupancy: 44%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$63,166/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $18,200/yr (+247% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Woongoolba maintains 4%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.5%, median prices could reach $1,787,148 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Woongoolba pull back 10-15% from $1,554,042, with vacancy rising to 3.8% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • No significant risk factors identified for this suburb

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Sheldon (QLD): $1,826,105 median, 1.8% yield, 10.9% 1yr growth
  • Wishart (QLD): $1,618,366 median, 2.6% yield, 23.1% 1yr growth
  • Stafford (QLD): $1,436,918 median, 2.5% yield, 15.0% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Woongoolba offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a cooling phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.

  • Entry range: $1,398,638$1,709,446
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.0/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Mixed tenure (39% renters) — transitional suburb profile
Active development pipeline (25451 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
3.6%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
3.3%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.9%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 3.0% + 10yr CAGR 3.8%

Growth drivers
  • +Strong population growth (4.4%/yr) driving demand
  • +Low rental vacancy (2.1%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (25451 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

2 green6 yellow8 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.1 high impact
Days on Market
36 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
350 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
3 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
3.83 high impact
1yr Price Growth
13.97 medium impact
Population Growth
4.4 high impact
Median Household Income
1494 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
6.5 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
5.6 medium impact
Distance to CBD
40.44 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
3 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
58.5 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
1.17 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
-0.33 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

4,508

2020

5,232

2021

5,649

2022

5,944

2023

4,118

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 4207

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 3 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

68,477

Education (IEO)

2/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

4/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Woongoolba QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $350/wk median rent for Woongoolba. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Woongoolba SS
PrimaryGovernment
5.6/10
Ormeau Woods SHS
SecondaryGovernment
6.1/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.