Tannum Sands QLD Property Investment

· 4680 · Score: 49/100 · Caution

Median House Price
$643K
Rental Yield
3.9%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$590/wk
Median Unit Price
$402K
Population
5,227
Days on Market
45 days
Annual Growth
21.3%

Tannum Sands Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$471.81/night
Occupancy Rate
44%
Est. Annual Revenue
$76K
AI Investment Analysis

Tannum Sands QLD Investment Brief

CAUTION3.9% gross yield on a $643,000$783,911 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) median.

THE MARKET

Median house price in Tannum Sands sits at $643,000$783,911 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) with 45 days on market and a 3.0% vacancy rate. This is a tenant-favourable market right now.

  • Median house: $643,000$783,911 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) | Units: $401,510
  • Gross yield: 3.9% | Net yield: 2.4%
  • 5yr price CAGR: -0.8%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 5,227 | Owner-occupier rate: 62% | Affluence: Below Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $590/wk | Days on market: 45 (stable)
  • Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $472/night | Occupancy: 44%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$75,773/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $30,680/yr (+147% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Bruce Highway Upgrade Program (Under Construction)
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Tannum Sands maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $903,048 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Tannum Sands pull back 10-15% from $785,259, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
  • - Flood risk: MODERATE (qld_elevation_proxy) — part of the suburb sits near waterways or in a mapped flood-prone area

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Brendale (QLD): $830,027 median, 3.8% yield, 16.2% 1yr growth
  • Griffin (QLD): $960,000 median, 3.7% yield, 14.0% 1yr growth
  • Strathpine (QLD): $981,415 median, 3.4% yield, 17.1% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Tannum Sands carries elevated risk that outweighs potential returns at current levels. A recovery market combined with moderate vacancy risk warrants caution. Avoid new acquisitions unless significant discount to median pricing is achievable. Re-evaluate if vacancy falls below 2.5% or annual price growth exceeds 3%.

  • Entry range: $706,733$863,785
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals5.0/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Strong capital growth (14.2% CAGR) — above national average
Mixed tenure (36% renters) — transitional suburb profile

Growth Forecast

medium confidence
1yr Forecast
9.9%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
9.1%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
7.9%
p.a.

Basis: 3yr growth 14.2% (discounted)

Suburb Metric Thresholds

1 green6 yellow9 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
45 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
590 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
-0.81 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
2.08 high impact
1yr Price Growth
21.32 medium impact
Population Growth
0.43 high impact
Median Household Income
1746 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
7.2 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
5.7 medium impact
Distance to CBD
425.17 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
4 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
61.5 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.91 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
2.41 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 4680

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 3 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

55,339

Education (IEO)

2/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

4/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Tannum Sands QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $590/wk median rent for Tannum Sands. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Tannum Sands SS
PrimaryGovernment
5.6/10
Tannum Sands SHS
SecondaryGovernment
5.4/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.