Sarina QLD Property Investment

Sarina has compounded at 2.2%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $527,543 in 2021 is worth $588,183 today. Properties are sitting on market for 45 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $655,793 by 2031.

• Median house: $588,183 | Units: $442,162
• Gross yield: 5.5% | Net yield: 4.0%
• 5yr price CAGR: 2.2%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
• Population: 5,619 | Owner-occupier rate: 73% | Affluence: Below Average

• Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

• Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
• Median weekly rent: $625/wk | Days on market: 45 (stable)
• Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.

• Median nightly rate: $367/night | Occupancy: 44%
• Estimated annual STR gross: ~$59,001/yr
• vs long-term rent: $32,500/yr (+82% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

• No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
• Transport: Standard suburban transport access

If Sarina maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $676,410 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Sarina pull back 10-15% from $588,183, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

• Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
• - Flood risk: MODERATE (qld_elevation_proxy) — part of the suburb sits near waterways or in a mapped flood-prone area

• Westwood (QLD): $747,318 median, 2.3% yield, 23.0% 1yr growth
• Yarraman (QLD): $515,179 median, 3.7% yield, 21.1% 1yr growth
• Crawford (QLD): $501,403 median, 2.7% yield, 15.8% 1yr growth

Sarina offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a cooling phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 6.0%.

• Entry range: $529,365 – $647,001
• Minimum gross yield to target: 5.8%
• Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.