Rocky Point QLD Property Investment
Douglas · 4873 · Score: 45/100 · Caution
Rocky Point Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Rocky Point QLD Investment Brief
CAUTION — 3.5% gross yield on a N/A median.
THE MARKET
Rocky Point has compounded at 2.0%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the N/A band today. Properties are sitting on market for 45 days (roughly balanced conditions).
- Median house: N/A | Units: $0
- Gross yield: 3.5% | Net yield: 2.0%
- 5yr price CAGR: 2.0%/yr | 3yr forecast: 1.8%/yr
- Population: 6,771 | Owner-occupier rate: 69% | Affluence: Below Average
- Supply pipeline: Moderate — Development activity consistent with long-term averages
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
- Median weekly rent: $260/wk | Days on market: 45 (stable)
- Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $554/night | Occupancy: 44%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$88,953/yr
- vs long-term rent: $13,520/yr (+558% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Standard suburban transport access
BULL CASE
If Rocky Point maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $920,000 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Rocky Point pull back 10-15% from $800,000, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
THE PLAY
Rocky Point carries elevated risk that outweighs potential returns at current levels. A recovery market combined with moderate vacancy risk warrants caution. Avoid new acquisitions unless significant discount to median pricing is achievable. Re-evaluate if vacancy falls below 2.5% or annual price growth exceeds 3%.
- Entry range: N/A – N/A
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 2.0% + 10yr CAGR 3.4%
- −High supply pipeline (322 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
44
2020
67
2021
105
2022
59
2023
47
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 4873
Decile 3 of 10 — High disadvantage
Population
6,771
Education (IEO)
3/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
3/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Rocky Point QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $260/wk median rent for Rocky Point. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Analyse a Property in Rocky Point
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.