Proserpine QLD Property Investment

Mackay · 4800 · Score: 55/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$578K
Rental Yield
5.4%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$600/wk
Median Unit Price
$486K
Population
3,614
Days on Market
45 days
Annual Growth
19.6%

Proserpine Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$463.56/night
Occupancy Rate
44%
Est. Annual Revenue
$74K
AI Investment Analysis

Proserpine QLD Investment Brief

HOLD5.4% gross yield on a $578,453 median.

THE MARKET

Proserpine has compounded at 2.4%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $513,769 in 2021 is worth $578,453 today. Properties are sitting on market for 45 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $651,280 by 2031.

  • Median house: $578,453 | Units: $486,001
  • Gross yield: 5.4% | Net yield: 3.9%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 2.4%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 3,614 | Owner-occupier rate: 75% | Affluence: Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $600/wk | Days on market: 45 (stable)
  • Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $464/night | Occupancy: 44%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$74,448/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $31,200/yr (+139% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Proserpine maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $665,221 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Proserpine pull back 10-15% from $578,453, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
  • - Flood risk: MODERATE (qld_elevation_proxy) — part of the suburb sits near waterways or in a mapped flood-prone area

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Westwood (QLD): $747,318 median, 2.3% yield, 23.0% 1yr growth
  • Yarraman (QLD): $515,179 median, 3.7% yield, 21.1% 1yr growth
  • Crawford (QLD): $501,403 median, 2.7% yield, 15.8% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Proserpine offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a recovery phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 5.9%.

  • Entry range: $520,608$636,298
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 5.7%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.5/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Active development pipeline (2359 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
2.6%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
2.4%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.1%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 2.4% + 10yr CAGR 4.2%

Growth drivers
  • +Above-average population growth (1.6%/yr)
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (2359 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

3 green9 yellow4 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
45 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
600 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
2.42 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.16 high impact
1yr Price Growth
19.57 medium impact
Population Growth
1.57 high impact
Median Household Income
1489 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.6 medium impact
Public Transport Score
5 medium impact
School Zone Quality
5.5 medium impact
Distance to CBD
905.93 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
3 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
75.2 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
5.39 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
3.89 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

350

2020

667

2021

468

2022

324

2023

550

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 4800

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 5 of 10 — Average

Population

10,081

Education (IEO)

2/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

6/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Proserpine QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $600/wk median rent for Proserpine. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Proserpine SS
PrimaryGovernment
5.4/10
Proserpine SHS
SecondaryGovernment
5.6/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.