Ormiston QLD Property Investment

Redland · 4160 · Score: 66/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$1.54M
Rental Yield
2.8%
Vacancy Rate
1.2%
Median Weekly Rent
$825/wk
Median Unit Price
$846K
Population
6,379
Days on Market
22 days
Annual Growth
14.6%

Ormiston Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$453.81/night
Occupancy Rate
44%
Est. Annual Revenue
$73K
AI Investment Analysis

Ormiston QLD Investment Brief

BUY2.8% gross yield on a $1,536,436 median.

THE MARKET

Ormiston has compounded at 3.6%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $1,287,406 in 2021 is worth $1,536,436 today. Properties are sitting on market for 22 days (sellers have the leverage). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $1,833,637 by 2031.

  • Median house: $1,536,436 | Units: $846,005
  • Gross yield: 2.8% | Net yield: 1.3%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 3.6%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 6,379 | Owner-occupier rate: 78% | Affluence: Very High
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 1.2% (improving) | Rental demand: Very High
  • Median weekly rent: $825/wk | Days on market: 22 (improving)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $454/night | Occupancy: 44%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$72,882/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $42,900/yr (+70% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Brisbane 2032 Olympic Games Infrastructure (Announced)
  • Transport: Ormiston station 0.3km away

BULL CASE

If Ormiston maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $1,766,901 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Ormiston pull back 10-15% from $1,536,436, with vacancy rising to 2.2% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • No significant risk factors identified for this suburb

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Sheldon (QLD): $1,826,105 median, 1.8% yield, 10.9% 1yr growth
  • Wishart (QLD): $1,618,366 median, 2.6% yield, 23.1% 1yr growth
  • Stafford (QLD): $1,436,918 median, 2.5% yield, 15.0% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Ormiston presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and very high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 2.8% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current cooling phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $1,382,792$1,690,080
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification2.0/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Outer suburban location (23.1km to CBD) — slower gentrification cycle
Active development pipeline (5438 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
3.9%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
3.6%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
3.1%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 3.6% + 10yr CAGR 4.3%

Growth drivers
  • +Very tight rental market (vacancy 1.2%) — upward price pressure
  • +Active market (22 days avg)
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (5438 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

8 green5 yellow3 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.2 high impact
Days on Market
22 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
825 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
3.61 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.33 high impact
1yr Price Growth
14.62 medium impact
Population Growth
0.98 high impact
Median Household Income
2107 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.9 medium impact
Public Transport Score
6.1 medium impact
School Zone Quality
6.2 medium impact
Distance to CBD
23.06 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
8 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
77.6 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.79 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.29 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

755

2020

1,160

2021

1,111

2022

1,031

2023

1,381

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 4160

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 9 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

19,044

Education (IEO)

8/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

9/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Ormiston QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $825/wk median rent for Ormiston. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Ormiston SS
PrimaryGovernment
7/10
Cleveland District SHS
SecondaryGovernment
6.6/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.