North Mackay QLD Property Investment
Mackay · 4740 · Score: 55/100 · Hold
North Mackay Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
North Mackay QLD Investment Brief
## 1. Investment Verdict Based on the data, the investment verdict for North Mackay, QLD is to Hold, with the single most important number justifying this decision being the Investment Scorecard rating of 55.0/100. This score indicates a moderate investment potential, suggesting that investors should exercise caution and carefully weigh the pros and cons before making a decision.
## 2. Market Overview The median house price in North Mackay is $611,601, while the median unit price is $483,655. The market has experienced a 21.4% price growth over the past year, with a 5-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.8%. The gross rental yield is 5.5%, and the median weekly rent is $645. Although the days on market are not available, the market cycle is in recovery, and the rental demand is moderate. This signals a relatively stable market for buyers and sellers, with opportunities for investors to capitalize on the growing demand.
## 3. Rental Market The vacancy rate in North Mackay is 3.0%, indicating a moderate level of rental demand. The median weekly rent is $645, and the gross rental yield is 5.5%. With an owner-occupier rate of 64%, the rental market is relatively stable, and investors can expect a moderate level of demand for their properties. The rental market is driven by a population of 6,194, with a moderate level of unemployment at 4.1%. This suggests that investors can expect a relatively stable rental income, with opportunities to increase yields through strategic property management.
## 4. Short-Term Rental Opportunity The median nightly rate for short-term rentals in North Mackay is $380, with an occupancy rate of 44%. Based on these numbers, the estimated annual revenue for a short-term rental property would be around $66,000 (assuming 365 nights per year and an occupancy rate of 44%). In comparison, the annual rental income from a long-term rental property would be around $33,580 (based on a median weekly rent of $645). This suggests that short-term rentals may offer higher revenue potential, but investors should carefully consider the costs and risks associated with this strategy.
## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers The Bruce Highway Upgrade Program is currently under construction, which may drive growth and demand in the area. The transport infrastructure is relatively well-developed, with Mackay station 6.1km away. The supply pipeline is low, with price growth outpacing new supply, and a limited development pipeline. This suggests that the area may experience further price growth, driven by the limited supply and growing demand.
## 6. Bull Case If the current market conditions hold or improve, the upside scenario for North Mackay could be significant. With a 3-year growth forecast of 13.5%, investors could potentially see their property values increase by around $83,000 (based on a median house price of $611,601). This would represent a significant return on investment, especially when combined with the relatively high gross rental yield of 5.5%.
## 7. Risks There are several risks associated with investing in North Mackay, including the distance from the CBD, which may limit long-term capital growth potential. The flood risk is moderate, with part of the suburb sitting near waterways or in a mapped flood-prone area. Investors should confirm the specific lot's exposure to flood risk before making a decision. Additionally, the bushfire risk is not on record for this suburb in the state planning overlay, and investors should order an independent BAL (Bushfire Attack Level) assessment before committing. The heritage status is also not on record, and investors should confirm with the council duty planner or a Section 10.7 (NSW) or equivalent certificate before making any decisions.
## 8. The Play Based on the analysis, the recommended entry range for investors is around $550,000 to $700,000, with a minimum yield target of 5.0%. Investors should watch for signals such as changes in the supply pipeline, shifts in the market cycle, and updates to the infrastructure and growth drivers. The recommended strategy is to hold existing properties and monitor the market closely, with a potential to buy into the market if the conditions improve.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 0.8% + 10yr CAGR 2.0%
- −High supply pipeline (2359 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
350
2020
667
2021
468
2022
324
2023
550
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 4740
Decile 5 of 10 — Average
Population
85,500
Education (IEO)
3/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
5/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on North Mackay QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $645/wk median rent for North Mackay. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.