Nebo QLD Property Investment
Isaac · 4742 · Score: 55/100 · Hold
Nebo Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Nebo QLD Investment Brief
HOLD — 7.9% gross yield on a $333,309 (pending peer validation) median.
THE MARKET
Median house price in Nebo sits at $333,309 (pending peer validation) with 45 days on market and a 3.0% vacancy rate. This is a tenant-favourable market right now.
- Median house: $333,309 (pending peer validation) | Units: $0
- Gross yield: 7.9% | Net yield: 6.4%
- 5yr price CAGR: -3.2%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 857 | Owner-occupier rate: 52% | Affluence: Below Average
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
- Median weekly rent: $505/wk | Days on market: 45 (stable)
- Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $441/night | Occupancy: 44%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$70,865/yr
- vs long-term rent: $26,260/yr (+170% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Yukan station 58.8km away
BULL CASE
If Nebo maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $383,305 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Nebo pull back 10-15% from $333,309, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Tully (QLD): $394,068 median, 6.3% yield, -0.8% 1yr growth
- Valkyrie (QLD): $274,000 median, 5.3% yield, 11.1% 1yr growth
- Duaringa (QLD): $252,297 median, 2.4% yield, 25.0% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Nebo offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a recovery phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 8.4%.
- Entry range: $299,978 – $366,640
- Minimum gross yield to target: 8.2%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
medium confidenceBasis: 3yr growth 7.2% (discounted)
- −Moderate supply pipeline (84 approvals)
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
16
2020
34
2021
12
2022
3
2023
19
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 4742
Decile 4 of 10 — Average
Population
1,192
Education (IEO)
1/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
6/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Nebo QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $505/wk median rent for Nebo. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Analyse a Property in Nebo
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.