Mooloolaba QLD Property Investment

Sunshine Coast · 4557 · Score: 60/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$1.85M
Rental Yield
2.3%
Vacancy Rate
1.1%
Median Weekly Rent
$830/wk
Median Unit Price
$1.07M
Population
8,202
Days on Market
24 days
Annual Growth
-8.1%

Mooloolaba Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$411.6/night
Occupancy Rate
%
Est. Annual Revenue
$98K
AI Investment Analysis

Mooloolaba QLD Investment Brief

HOLD2.3% gross yield on a $1,849,884 median.

THE MARKET

Mooloolaba has compounded at 3.2%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $1,580,324 in 2021 is worth $1,849,884 today. Properties are sitting on market for 24 days (sellers have the leverage). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $2,165,424 by 2031.

  • Median house: $1,849,884 | Units: $1,069,498
  • Gross yield: 2.3% | Net yield: 0.8%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 3.2%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 8,202 | Owner-occupier rate: 59% | Affluence: High
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 1.1% (improving) | Rental demand: Very High
  • Median weekly rent: $830/wk | Days on market: 24 (improving)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Sunshine Coast Direct Rail (Announced)
  • Transport: Koala station 12.5km away

BULL CASE

If Mooloolaba maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $2,127,367 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Mooloolaba pull back 10-15% from $1,849,884, with vacancy rising to 2.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
  • - Flood risk: MODERATE (qld_elevation_proxy) — part of the suburb sits near waterways or in a mapped flood-prone area

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Cashmere (QLD): $1,448,690 median, 3.2% yield, 23.9% 1yr growth
  • Samford Village (QLD): $1,630,129 median, 2.7% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
  • North Maclean (QLD): $1,421,187 median, 3.5% yield, 10.9% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Mooloolaba offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a cooling phase with low vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.

  • Entry range: $1,664,896$2,034,872
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.5/10
Middle-tier SEIFA — moderate gentrification pressure
Mixed tenure (39% renters) — transitional suburb profile
Active development pipeline (18324 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
3.7%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
3.4%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.9%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 3.2% + 10yr CAGR 4.3%

Growth drivers
  • +Very tight rental market (vacancy 1.1%) — upward price pressure
  • +Active market (24 days avg)
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (18324 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

3 green8 yellow5 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.1 high impact
Days on Market
24 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
830 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
3.23 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.3 high impact
1yr Price Growth
-8.1 medium impact
Population Growth
1.21 high impact
Median Household Income
1730 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
4 medium impact
Public Transport Score
6.4 medium impact
School Zone Quality
6.8 medium impact
Distance to CBD
88.08 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
6 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
59.3 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.33 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
0.83 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

3,419

2020

4,409

2021

3,818

2022

3,457

2023

3,221

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 4557

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 7 of 10 — Average

Population

20,161

Education (IEO)

7/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

6/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Mooloolaba QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $830/wk median rent for Mooloolaba. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Mooloolaba SS
PrimaryGovernment
7.3/10
Mountain Creek SHS
SecondaryGovernment
6.9/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.