Middlemount QLD Property Investment
Isaac · 4746 · Score: 50/100 · Hold
Middlemount Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Middlemount QLD Investment Brief
HOLD — $200,532 (pending peer validation) median with 41.7%/yr growth over 5 years.
THE MARKET
Middlemount has compounded at 41.7%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $200,532 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 45 days (roughly balanced conditions).
- Median house: $200,532 (pending peer validation) | Units: $167,500
- Gross yield: 9.4% | Net yield: 7.9%
- 5yr price CAGR: 41.7%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 1,899 | Owner-occupier rate: 10% | Affluence: Above Average
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
- Median weekly rent: $363/wk | Days on market: 45 (stable)
- Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $237/night | Occupancy: 30%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$25,599/yr
- vs long-term rent: $18,876/yr (+36% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Standard suburban transport access
BULL CASE
If Middlemount maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $230,612 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Middlemount pull back 10-15% from $200,532, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Duaringa (QLD): $252,297 median, 2.4% yield, 25.0% 1yr growth
- Winton (QLD): $236,684 median, 3.3% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
- Quilpie (QLD): $176,283 median, 4.1% yield, 13.9% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Middlemount offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a stable phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 9.9%.
- Entry range: $180,479 – $220,585
- Minimum gross yield to target: 9.7%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
medium confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 41.7%
- −Moderate supply pipeline (84 approvals)
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
16
2020
34
2021
12
2022
3
2023
19
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 4746
Decile 7 of 10 — Average
Population
1,989
Education (IEO)
3/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
2/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Middlemount QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $363/wk median rent for Middlemount. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Analyse a Property in Middlemount
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.