Mansfield QLD Property Investment

Brisbane · 4122 · Score: 69/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$1.35M
Rental Yield
3.0%
Vacancy Rate
1.2%
Median Weekly Rent
$780/wk
Median Unit Price
$780K
Population
8,851
Days on Market
22 days
Annual Growth
10.7%
AI Investment Analysis

Mansfield QLD Investment Brief

BUY3.0% gross yield on a $1,350,000 median.

THE MARKET

Mansfield has compounded at 3.2%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $1,153,281 in 2021 is worth $1,350,000 today. Properties are sitting on market for 22 days (sellers have the leverage). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $1,580,273 by 2031.

  • Median house: $1,350,000 | Units: $780,200
  • Gross yield: 3.0% | Net yield: 1.5%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 3.2%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 8,851 | Owner-occupier rate: 62% | Affluence: High
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 1.2% (improving) | Rental demand: Very High
  • Median weekly rent: $780/wk | Days on market: 22 (improving)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Cross River Rail (Brisbane) (Under Construction)
  • Brisbane 2032 Olympic Games Infrastructure (Announced)
  • Transport: Coorparoo station 6.6km away

BULL CASE

If Mansfield maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $1,552,500 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Mansfield pull back 10-15% from $1,350,000, with vacancy rising to 2.2% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Flood risk: MODERATE (qld_arcgis) — part of the suburb sits near waterways or in a mapped flood-prone area

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Springfield Lakes (QLD): $1,070,949 median, 3.2% yield, 13.0% 1yr growth
  • Waterford (QLD): $997,414 median, 3.5% yield, 6.6% 1yr growth
  • Wishart (QLD): $1,618,366 median, 2.6% yield, 23.1% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Mansfield presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and very high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 3.0% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current cooling phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $1,215,000$1,485,000
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.0/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Inner/middle ring location (10.7km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
Mixed tenure (35% renters) — transitional suburb profile
Active development pipeline (39794 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
3.7%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
3.4%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.9%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 3.2% + 10yr CAGR 4.3%

Growth drivers
  • +Very tight rental market (vacancy 1.2%) — upward price pressure
  • +Active market (22 days avg)
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (39794 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

7 green6 yellow3 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.2 high impact
Days on Market
22 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
780 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
3.23 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.3 high impact
1yr Price Growth
10.66 medium impact
Population Growth
1.46 high impact
Median Household Income
1935 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
5.6 medium impact
Public Transport Score
7.5 medium impact
School Zone Quality
7.4 medium impact
Distance to CBD
10.7 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
8 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
62.1 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.5 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

7,221

2020

8,891

2021

8,353

2022

8,044

2023

7,285

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 4122

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 7 of 10 — Average

Population

47,147

Education (IEO)

9/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

5/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Mansfield QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $780/wk median rent for Mansfield. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Mount Gravatt East SS
PrimaryGovernment
5.9/10
Mansfield SHS
SecondaryGovernment
8.1/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.