Macleay Island QLD Property Investment
Redland · 4184 · Score: 59/100 · Hold
Macleay Island Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Macleay Island QLD Investment Brief
HOLD — 4.1% gross yield on a $617,941 median.
THE MARKET
Macleay Island has compounded at 1.7%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $567,992 in 2021 is worth $617,941 today. Properties are sitting on market for 35 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $672,282 by 2031.
- Median house: $617,941 | Units: $0
- Gross yield: 4.1% | Net yield: 2.6%
- 5yr price CAGR: 1.7%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 3,193 | Owner-occupier rate: 73% | Affluence: Low
- Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 2.1% (improving) | Rental demand: High
- Median weekly rent: $490/wk | Days on market: 35 (stable)
- Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $582/night | Occupancy: 44%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$93,500/yr
- vs long-term rent: $25,480/yr (+267% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Cleveland station 13.2km away
BULL CASE
If Macleay Island maintains 4%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.5%, median prices could reach $710,632 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Macleay Island pull back 10-15% from $617,941, with vacancy rising to 3.8% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- No significant risk factors identified for this suburb
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Riverview (QLD): $732,161 median, 3.5% yield, 26.3% 1yr growth
- Russell Island (QLD): $539,944 median, 4.3% yield, 22.0% 1yr growth
- Kingston (QLD): $758,050 median, 4.0% yield, 17.2% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Macleay Island offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a cooling phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.6%.
- Entry range: $556,147 – $679,735
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 1.7% + 10yr CAGR 2.4%
- +Strong population growth (4.2%/yr) driving demand
- +Low rental vacancy (2.1%) — constrained supply
- −High supply pipeline (5438 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
755
2020
1,160
2021
1,111
2022
1,031
2023
1,381
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 4184
Decile 1 of 10 — High disadvantage
Population
8,481
Education (IEO)
1/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
1/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Macleay Island QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $490/wk median rent for Macleay Island. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.