Loganlea QLD Property Investment

Logan · 4131 · Score: 59/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$933K
Rental Yield
3.2%
Vacancy Rate
1.2%
Median Weekly Rent
$570/wk
Median Unit Price
$765K
Population
8,716
Days on Market
22 days
Annual Growth
14.2%

Loganlea Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$391.5/night
Occupancy Rate
44%
Est. Annual Revenue
$63K
AI Investment Analysis

Loganlea QLD Investment Brief

HOLD3.2% gross yield on a $933,255 median.

THE MARKET

Loganlea has compounded at 2.1%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $841,146 in 2021 is worth $933,255 today. Properties are sitting on market for 22 days (sellers have the leverage). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $1,035,450 by 2031.

  • Median house: $933,255 | Units: $765,193
  • Gross yield: 3.2% | Net yield: 1.7%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 2.1%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 8,716 | Owner-occupier rate: 41% | Affluence: Low
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 1.2% (improving) | Rental demand: Very High
  • Median weekly rent: $570/wk | Days on market: 22 (improving)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $392/night | Occupancy: 44%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$62,875/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $29,640/yr (+112% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Loganlea station 0.9km away

BULL CASE

If Loganlea maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $1,073,243 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Loganlea pull back 10-15% from $933,255, with vacancy rising to 2.2% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • No significant risk factors identified for this suburb

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Springfield Lakes (QLD): $1,070,949 median, 3.2% yield, 13.0% 1yr growth
  • Ellen Grove (QLD): $878,386 median, 3.7% yield, 18.6% 1yr growth
  • Waterford (QLD): $997,414 median, 3.5% yield, 6.6% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Loganlea offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a recovery phase with low vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.

  • Entry range: $839,930$1,026,581
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals5.5/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Outer suburban location (25.2km to CBD) — slower gentrification cycle
High renter base (55%) — room for tenure upgrade as area improves
Active development pipeline (20347 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
2.9%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
2.7%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.3%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 2.1% + 10yr CAGR 3.5%

Growth drivers
  • +Above-average population growth (2.5%/yr)
  • +Very tight rental market (vacancy 1.2%) — upward price pressure
  • +Active market (22 days avg)
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (20347 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

4 green4 yellow8 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.2 high impact
Days on Market
22 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
570 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
2.13 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
3.45 high impact
1yr Price Growth
14.15 medium impact
Population Growth
2.45 high impact
Median Household Income
1376 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
10.3 medium impact
Public Transport Score
6.8 medium impact
School Zone Quality
4.6 medium impact
Distance to CBD
25.23 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
1 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
41.4 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.18 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.68 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

2,800

2020

4,682

2021

4,552

2022

4,190

2023

4,123

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 4131

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 1 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

11,781

Education (IEO)

2/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

1/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Loganlea QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $570/wk median rent for Loganlea. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Waterford West SS
PrimaryGovernment
4.5/10
Loganlea SHS
SecondaryGovernment
4.6/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.