Kentville QLD Property Investment
Lockyer Valley · 4341 · Score: 55/100 · Hold
Kentville Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Kentville QLD Investment Brief
HOLD — 3.5% gross yield on a N/A median.
THE MARKET
Kentville has compounded at 2.6%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the N/A band today. Properties are sitting on market for 37 days (roughly balanced conditions).
- Median house: N/A | Units: $0
- Gross yield: 3.5% | Net yield: 2.0%
- 5yr price CAGR: 2.6%/yr | 3yr forecast: 2.4%/yr
- Population: 108 | Owner-occupier rate: 75% | Affluence: Below Average
- Supply pipeline: Moderate — Development activity consistent with long-term averages
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 2.3% (stable) | Rental demand: High
- Median weekly rent: $315/wk | Days on market: 37 (stable)
- Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $450/night | Occupancy: 44%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$72,220/yr
- vs long-term rent: $16,380/yr (+341% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Gatton station 16.3km away
BULL CASE
If Kentville maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.6%, median prices could reach $920,000 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Kentville pull back 10-15% from $800,000, with vacancy rising to 4.1% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
THE PLAY
Kentville offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a recovery phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.
- Entry range: N/A – N/A
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 2.6% + 10yr CAGR 4.2%
- +Above-average population growth (1.8%/yr)
- +Low rental vacancy (2.3%) — constrained supply
- −High supply pipeline (1338 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
170
2020
348
2021
285
2022
250
2023
285
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 4341
Decile 2 of 10 — High disadvantage
Population
15,952
Education (IEO)
1/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
5/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Kentville QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $315/wk median rent for Kentville. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.