Kenilworth QLD Property Investment
Gympie · 4574 · Score: 52/100 · Hold
Kenilworth Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Kenilworth QLD Investment Brief
HOLD — 1.6% gross yield on a $1,018,691 (pending peer validation) median.
THE MARKET
Kenilworth has compounded at 4.9%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $1,018,691 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 42 days (roughly balanced conditions).
- Median house: $1,018,691 (pending peer validation) | Units: $269,135
- Gross yield: 1.6% | Net yield: 0.1%
- 5yr price CAGR: 4.9%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 604 | Owner-occupier rate: 79% | Affluence: Average
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 2.7% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
- Median weekly rent: $320/wk | Days on market: 42 (stable)
- Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Sunshine Railway Modellers Society. station 22.9km away
BULL CASE
If Kenilworth maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.9%, median prices could reach $1,171,495 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Kenilworth pull back 10-15% from $1,018,691, with vacancy rising to 4.9% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Springfield Lakes (QLD): $1,070,949 median, 3.2% yield, 13.0% 1yr growth
- North Lakes (QLD): $1,179,423 median, 3.0% yield, 12.4% 1yr growth
- Redbank Plains (QLD): $911,047 median, 3.4% yield, 16.6% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Kenilworth offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a above_trend phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.
- Entry range: $916,822 – $1,120,560
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 4.9% + 10yr CAGR 4.4%
- +Above-average population growth (2.0%/yr)
- −High supply pipeline (2305 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
282
2020
529
2021
427
2022
494
2023
573
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 4574
Decile 5 of 10 — Average
Population
1,432
Education (IEO)
4/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
6/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Kenilworth QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $320/wk median rent for Kenilworth. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.