Kallangur QLD Property Investment

Moreton Bay · 4503 · Score: 67/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$970K
Rental Yield
3.2%
Vacancy Rate
1.2%
Median Weekly Rent
$600/wk
Median Unit Price
$785K
Population
21,761
Days on Market
22 days
Annual Growth
13.6%

Kallangur Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$341.19/night
Occupancy Rate
44%
Est. Annual Revenue
$55K
AI Investment Analysis

Kallangur QLD Investment Brief

BUY3.2% gross yield on a $970,496 median.

THE MARKET

Kallangur has compounded at 3.2%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $829,078 in 2021 is worth $970,496 today. Properties are sitting on market for 22 days (sellers have the leverage). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $1,136,036 by 2031.

  • Median house: $970,496 | Units: $785,124
  • Gross yield: 3.2% | Net yield: 1.7%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 3.2%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 21,761 | Owner-occupier rate: 55% | Affluence: Above Average
  • Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 1.2% (improving) | Rental demand: Very High
  • Median weekly rent: $600/wk | Days on market: 22 (improving)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $341/night | Occupancy: 44%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$54,795/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $31,200/yr (+76% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Brisbane 2032 Olympic Games Infrastructure (Announced)
  • Transport: Kallangur station 1.0km away

BULL CASE

If Kallangur maintains 4%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $1,116,070 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Kallangur pull back 10-15% from $970,496, with vacancy rising to 2.2% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • No significant risk factors identified for this suburb

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Springfield Lakes (QLD): $1,070,949 median, 3.2% yield, 13.0% 1yr growth
  • North Lakes (QLD): $1,179,423 median, 3.0% yield, 12.4% 1yr growth
  • Redbank Plains (QLD): $911,047 median, 3.4% yield, 16.6% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Kallangur presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and very high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 3.2% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current stable phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $873,446$1,067,546
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals5.0/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Outer suburban location (24.6km to CBD) — slower gentrification cycle
Mixed tenure (43% renters) — transitional suburb profile
Active development pipeline (21414 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
3.9%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
3.6%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
3.2%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 3.2% + 10yr CAGR 3.1%

Growth drivers
  • +Strong population growth (3.8%/yr) driving demand
  • +Very tight rental market (vacancy 1.2%) — upward price pressure
  • +Active market (22 days avg)
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (21414 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

5 green7 yellow4 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.2 high impact
Days on Market
22 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
600 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
3.23 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
3.13 high impact
1yr Price Growth
13.57 medium impact
Population Growth
3.75 high impact
Median Household Income
1705 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
5.8 medium impact
Public Transport Score
7.2 medium impact
School Zone Quality
5.7 medium impact
Distance to CBD
24.57 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
2 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
54.8 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.21 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.71 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

4,057

2020

5,365

2021

4,175

2022

3,011

2023

4,806

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 4503

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 5 of 10 — Average

Population

52,483

Education (IEO)

5/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

5/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Kallangur QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $600/wk median rent for Kallangur. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Kallangur SS
PrimaryGovernment
4.9/10
Murrumba State Secondary College
SecondaryGovernment
6.1/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.