Herston QLD Property Investment

Brisbane · 4006 · Score: 72/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$1.75M
Rental Yield
2.1%
Vacancy Rate
1.2%
Median Weekly Rent
$695/wk
Median Unit Price
$1.06M
Population
2,311
Days on Market
22 days
Annual Growth
0.0%

Herston Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$445.31/night
Occupancy Rate
44%
Est. Annual Revenue
$72K
AI Investment Analysis

Herston QLD Investment Brief

BUY2.1% gross yield on a $1,748,692 median.

THE MARKET

Herston has compounded at 1.1%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $1,655,608 in 2021 is worth $1,748,692 today. Properties are sitting on market for 22 days (sellers have the leverage). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $1,847,009 by 2031.

  • Median house: $1,748,692 | Units: $1,056,790
  • Gross yield: 2.1% | Net yield: 0.6%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 1.1%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 2,311 | Owner-occupier rate: 22% | Affluence: Very High
  • Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 1.2% (improving) | Rental demand: Very High
  • Median weekly rent: $695/wk | Days on market: 22 (improving)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $445/night | Occupancy: 44%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$71,517/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $36,140/yr (+98% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Brisbane 2032 Olympic Games Infrastructure (Announced)
  • Cross River Rail (Brisbane) (Under Construction)
  • Cross River Rail (under_construction)
  • Transport: Wilston station 1.0km away

BULL CASE

If Herston maintains 11%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $2,010,996 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Herston pull back 10-15% from $1,748,692, with vacancy rising to 2.2% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Flood risk: HIGH (qld_arcgis) — order a flood certificate for the specific address before commit

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Sheldon (QLD): $1,826,105 median, 1.8% yield, 10.9% 1yr growth
  • Wishart (QLD): $1,618,366 median, 2.6% yield, 23.1% 1yr growth
  • Stafford (QLD): $1,436,918 median, 2.5% yield, 15.0% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Herston presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and very high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 2.1% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current recovery phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $1,573,823$1,923,561
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.5/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Inner city location — already gentrified or premium
High renter base (76%) — room for tenure upgrade as area improves
Active development pipeline (39794 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
2.4%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
2.2%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
1.9%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 1.1% + 10yr CAGR 1.8%

Growth drivers
  • +Strong population growth (10.9%/yr) driving demand
  • +Very tight rental market (vacancy 1.2%) — upward price pressure
  • +Active market (22 days avg)
  • +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (39794 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

8 green2 yellow6 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.2 high impact
Days on Market
22 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
695 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
1.07 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
1.78 high impact
1yr Price Growth
0 medium impact
Population Growth
10.93 high impact
Median Household Income
1871 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
4.6 medium impact
Public Transport Score
8.5 medium impact
School Zone Quality
8.2 medium impact
Distance to CBD
2.78 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
8 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
21.9 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.07 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
0.57 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

7,221

2020

8,891

2021

8,353

2022

8,044

2023

7,285

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 4006

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 9 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

24,411

Education (IEO)

10/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

1/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Herston QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $695/wk median rent for Herston. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Kelvin Grove State College
PrimaryGovernment
8.6/10
Kelvin Grove State College
SecondaryGovernment
8.6/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.