Goodwood QLD Property Investment

Fraser Coast · 4660 · Score: 53/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$262K
Rental Yield
5.6%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$280/wk
Median Unit Price
N/A
Population
155
Days on Market
45 days
Annual Growth
17.9%

Goodwood Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$374/night
Occupancy Rate
44%
Est. Annual Revenue
$60K
AI Investment Analysis

Goodwood QLD Investment Brief

HOLD5.6% gross yield on a $262,000$909,000 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) median.

THE MARKET

Goodwood has compounded at 2.5%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $262,000$909,000 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 45 days (roughly balanced conditions).

  • Median house: $262,000$909,000 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) | Units: $0
  • Gross yield: 5.6% | Net yield: 4.1%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 2.5%/yr | 3yr forecast: 2.2%/yr
  • Population: 155 | Owner-occupier rate: 75% | Affluence: Low
  • Supply pipeline: Moderate — Development activity consistent with long-term averages

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $280/wk | Days on market: 45 (stable)
  • Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $374/night | Occupancy: 44%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$60,064/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $14,560/yr (+313% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Bruce Highway Upgrade Program (Under Construction)
  • Transport: Australian Sugar Cane Railway station 29.3km away

BULL CASE

If Goodwood maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $301,300 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Goodwood pull back 10-15% from $262,000, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Valkyrie (QLD): $274,000 median, 5.3% yield, 11.1% 1yr growth
  • Duaringa (QLD): $252,297 median, 2.4% yield, 25.0% 1yr growth
  • Isisford (QLD): $314,000 median, 1.6% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Goodwood offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a recovery phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 6.1%.

  • Entry range: $235,800$288,200
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 5.9%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.5/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Active development pipeline (5568 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
2.4%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
2.2%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
1.9%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 2.5% + 10yr CAGR 3.6%

Growth drivers
  • +Above-average population growth (2.4%/yr)
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (5568 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

5 green2 yellow9 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
45 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
280 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
2.46 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
3.56 high impact
1yr Price Growth
17.92 medium impact
Population Growth
2.41 high impact
Median Household Income
945 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
6.9 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
4 medium impact
Distance to CBD
269.88 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
1 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
74.7 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
5.56 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
4.06 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

771

2020

1,182

2021

979

2022

1,028

2023

1,608

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 4660

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 2 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

8,048

Education (IEO)

1/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

3/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Goodwood QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $280/wk median rent for Goodwood. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Goodwood SS
PrimaryGovernment
4/10
Isis District SHS
SecondaryGovernment
4.8/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.