Glenden QLD Property Investment

Isaac · 4743 · Score: 49/100 · Caution

Median House Price
$283K
Rental Yield
0.6%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$32/wk
Median Unit Price
N/A
Population
477
Days on Market
45 days
Annual Growth
12.9%

Glenden Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$495.33/night
Occupancy Rate
44%
Est. Annual Revenue
$80K
AI Investment Analysis

Glenden QLD Investment Brief

CAUTION$283,211 (pending peer validation) median with 7.5%/yr growth over 5 years.

THE MARKET

Glenden has compounded at 7.5%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $283,211 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 45 days (roughly balanced conditions).

  • Median house: $283,211 (pending peer validation) | Units: $0
  • Gross yield: 0.6% | Net yield: -0.9%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 7.5%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 477 | Owner-occupier rate: 5% | Affluence: Above Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $32/wk | Days on market: 45 (stable)
  • Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $495/night | Occupancy: 44%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$79,550/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $1,664/yr (+4681% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Glenden maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $325,693 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Glenden pull back 10-15% from $283,211, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Valkyrie (QLD): $274,000 median, 5.3% yield, 11.1% 1yr growth
  • Duaringa (QLD): $252,297 median, 2.4% yield, 25.0% 1yr growth
  • Townsville (QLD): $359,000 median, 4.3% yield, 17.5% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Glenden carries elevated risk that outweighs potential returns at current levels. A stable market combined with moderate vacancy risk warrants caution. Avoid new acquisitions unless significant discount to median pricing is achievable. Re-evaluate if vacancy falls below 2.5% or annual price growth exceeds 3%.

  • Entry range: $254,890$311,532
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals5.0/10
Middle-tier SEIFA — moderate gentrification pressure
Above-average capital growth (7.5% CAGR)
High renter base (79%) — room for tenure upgrade as area improves
Active development pipeline (84 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
6.5%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
6.0%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
5.2%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 7.5%

Headwinds
  • Population decline (-2.2%/yr) — demand headwind
  • Moderate supply pipeline (84 approvals)

Suburb Metric Thresholds

4 green2 yellow8 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
45 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
32 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
7.53 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
No data high impact
1yr Price Growth
12.95 medium impact
Population Growth
-2.16 high impact
Median Household Income
2394 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
2.2 medium impact
Public Transport Score
No data medium impact
School Zone Quality
4.5 medium impact
Distance to CBD
842.2 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
6 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
4.9 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
0.59 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
-0.91 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

16

2020

34

2021

12

2022

3

2023

19

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 4743

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 8 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

556

Education (IEO)

4/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

4/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Glenden QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $32/wk median rent for Glenden. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Glenden SS
PrimaryGovernment
4.5/10
Glenden SS
SecondaryGovernment
4.5/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.