Gladstone QLD Property Investment

· 4680 · Score: 51/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$535K
Rental Yield
4.2%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$430/wk
Median Unit Price
$343K
Population
55,339
Days on Market
45 days
Annual Growth
10.0%

Gladstone Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$476.94/night
Occupancy Rate
44%
Est. Annual Revenue
$77K
AI Investment Analysis

Gladstone QLD Investment Brief

HOLD4.2% gross yield on a $535,000 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) median.

THE MARKET

Median house price in Gladstone sits at $535,000 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) with 45 days on market and a 3.0% vacancy rate. This is a tenant-favourable market right now.

  • Median house: $535,000 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) | Units: $342,500
  • Gross yield: 4.2% | Net yield: 2.7%
  • 5yr price CAGR: -0.8%/yr | 3yr forecast: -0.7%/yr
  • Population: 55,339 | Owner-occupier rate: 62% | Affluence: Below Average
  • Supply pipeline: Moderate — Development activity consistent with long-term averages

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 3.0% (worsening) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $430/wk | Days on market: 45 (stable)
  • Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $477/night | Occupancy: 44%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$76,597/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $22,360/yr (+243% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Bruce Highway Upgrade Program (Under Construction)
  • Transport: Gladstone station 1.4km away

BULL CASE

If Gladstone maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $615,250 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Gladstone pull back 10-15% from $535,000, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Negative price growth suggests a softening market
  • - Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
  • - Flood risk: MODERATE (qld_elevation_proxy) — part of the suburb sits near waterways or in a mapped flood-prone area

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Yarraman (QLD): $515,179 median, 3.7% yield, 21.1% 1yr growth
  • Bell (QLD): $401,000 median, 2.6% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
  • Crawford (QLD): $501,403 median, 2.7% yield, 15.8% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Gladstone offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a recovery phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.7%.

  • Entry range: $481,500$588,500
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals5.5/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Strong capital growth (18.3% CAGR) — above national average
Mixed tenure (36% renters) — transitional suburb profile
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

medium confidence
1yr Forecast
13.0%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
12.0%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
10.4%
p.a.

Basis: 3yr growth 18.3% (discounted)

Growth drivers
  • +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

2 green7 yellow7 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
45 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
430 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
-0.81 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
2.08 high impact
1yr Price Growth
10 medium impact
Population Growth
0.43 high impact
Median Household Income
1746 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
7.2 medium impact
Public Transport Score
17 medium impact
School Zone Quality
6.7 medium impact
Distance to CBD
440.92 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
3 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
61.5 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
4.18 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
2.68 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 4680

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 3 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

55,339

Education (IEO)

2/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

4/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Gladstone QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $430/wk median rent for Gladstone. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Gladstone Central SS
PrimaryGovernment
5.7/10
Gladstone SHS
SecondaryGovernment
4.9/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.