Gin Gin QLD Property Investment
North Burnett · 4671 · Score: 48/100 · Caution
Gin Gin Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Gin Gin QLD Investment Brief
CAUTION — 5.0% gross yield on a $504,694 median.
THE MARKET
Gin Gin has compounded at 3.3%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $429,068 in 2021 is worth $504,694 today. Properties are sitting on market for 45 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $593,649 by 2031.
- Median house: $504,694 | Units: $394,343
- Gross yield: 5.0% | Net yield: 3.5%
- 5yr price CAGR: 3.3%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 1,139 | Owner-occupier rate: 78% | Affluence: Low
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
- Median weekly rent: $480/wk | Days on market: 45 (stable)
- Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $390/night | Occupancy: 44%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$62,624/yr
- vs long-term rent: $24,960/yr (+151% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- Bruce Highway Upgrade Program (Under Construction)
- Transport: Australian Sugar Cane Railway station 41.8km away
BULL CASE
If Gin Gin maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $580,398 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Gin Gin pull back 10-15% from $504,694, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Yarraman (QLD): $515,179 median, 3.7% yield, 21.1% 1yr growth
- Moranbah (QLD): $367,916 median, 9.2% yield, 6.4% 1yr growth
- Bell (QLD): $401,000 median, 2.6% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Gin Gin carries elevated risk that outweighs potential returns at current levels. A cooling market combined with moderate vacancy risk warrants caution. Avoid new acquisitions unless significant discount to median pricing is achievable. Re-evaluate if vacancy falls below 2.5% or annual price growth exceeds 3%.
- Entry range: $454,225 – $555,163
- Minimum gross yield to target: 5.2%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 3.3% + 10yr CAGR 3.8%
- −High supply pipeline (127 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
19
2020
26
2021
22
2022
27
2023
33
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 4671
Decile 1 of 10 — High disadvantage
Population
6,285
Education (IEO)
1/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
2/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Gin Gin QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $480/wk median rent for Gin Gin. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.