Diwan QLD Property Investment

Douglas · 4873 · Score: 47/100 · Caution

Median House Price
$445K
Rental Yield
3.0%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$260/wk
Median Unit Price
$221K
Population
169
Days on Market
45 days
Annual Growth
11.5%

Diwan Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$657.25/night
Occupancy Rate
44%
Est. Annual Revenue
$106K
AI Investment Analysis

Diwan QLD Investment Brief

CAUTION3.0% gross yield on a $445,326 median.

THE MARKET

Diwan has compounded at 2.0%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $403,345 in 2021 is worth $445,326 today. Properties are sitting on market for 45 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $491,676 by 2031.

  • Median house: $445,326 | Units: $221,172
  • Gross yield: 3.0% | Net yield: 1.5%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 2.0%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 169 | Owner-occupier rate: 69% | Affluence: Below Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $260/wk | Days on market: 45 (stable)
  • Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $657/night | Occupancy: 44%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$105,554/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $13,520/yr (+681% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Diwan maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $512,125 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Diwan pull back 10-15% from $445,326, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Yarraman (QLD): $515,179 median, 3.7% yield, 21.1% 1yr growth
  • Isisford (QLD): $314,000 median, 1.6% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
  • Moranbah (QLD): $367,916 median, 9.2% yield, 6.4% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Diwan carries elevated risk that outweighs potential returns at current levels. A recovery market combined with moderate vacancy risk warrants caution. Avoid new acquisitions unless significant discount to median pricing is achievable. Re-evaluate if vacancy falls below 2.5% or annual price growth exceeds 3%.

  • Entry range: $400,793$489,859
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.5/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Active development pipeline (322 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
1.8%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
1.7%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
1.5%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 2.0% + 10yr CAGR 3.4%

Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (322 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

2 green5 yellow9 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
45 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
260 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
2.02 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
3.4 high impact
1yr Price Growth
11.49 medium impact
Population Growth
0.95 high impact
Median Household Income
1218 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
4.3 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
5.5 medium impact
Distance to CBD
1478.32 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
2 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
68.7 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.04 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.54 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

44

2020

67

2021

105

2022

59

2023

47

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 4873

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 3 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

6,771

Education (IEO)

3/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

3/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Diwan QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $260/wk median rent for Diwan. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Alexandra Bay SS
PrimaryGovernment
5.5/10
Mossman SHS
SecondaryGovernment
4.9/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.